Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu with Defense Minister Yoav Gallant and senior military commanders, October 26, 2024
UPDATE 0924 GMT:
Iran’s Supreme Leader has implicitly acknowledged damage from Israeli airstrikes, conducted from Iraqi and Syrian airspace, on Iranian military sites.
“The evil committed by the Zionist regime two nights ago should neither be downplayed nor exaggerated,” Ayatollah Khamenei said. “It would be wrong for us to say that it was nothing and it did not matter.”
Describing the Israeli airstrikes as “malignant”, he declared:
The calculation error of the Zionist regime must be disrupted. They do not know Iran, its youth, its nation. They have not yet been able to fully comprehend the power, capabilities, initiative and will of the Iranian nation, we must make them understand it.
President Masoud Pezeshkian posted on Twitter, “Iran’s enemies should know that the warrior nation stands fearlessly in defense of its soil and responds to any act of folly with prudence and intelligence.”
Parliament Speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf pledged, “The response to this act of aggression will be definite and calculated.”
Tooltip TextUPDATE, OCT 27:
Israel’s strikes on Iran destroyed air-defense systems protecting critical oil and petrochemical refineries, a large gas field, and a major port in southern Iran, according to “three Iranian officials and three senior Israeli defense officials” speaking to the New York Times.
The sites targeted by Israel included defenses at Bandar Imam Khomeini petrochemical complex in Khuzestan Province; the Bandar Imam Khomeini port, adjacent to it; and the Abadan oil refinery. Air-defense systems were also struck in Ilam Province at the refinery for the Tange Bijar gas field, said the officials, one of whom is in Iran’s Oil Ministry.
The Iranian officials confirmed that the Israeli destruction of the air defense systems has caused “deep alarm”, with critical energy and economic hubs vulnerable to future attacks. They said the Israelis had effectively taken out four S-300 air-defense systems that Iran had purchased from Russia. One was disabled in Isfahan Province in April and three on Saturday, at Tehran’s Imam Khomeini International Airport and the Malad missile base on the capital’s outskirts.
“Israel is sending a clear message to us,” said Hamid Hosseini, an oil and gas expert in the Iran-Iraq Chamber of Commerce. “This can have very serious economic consequences for Iran, and now that we understand the stakes we need to act wise and not continue the tensions.”
Israel also attacked three major missile manufacturing bases at Falagh, Shaid Ghadiri and Abdol Fath. The Parchin and Parand military sites were targeted with drones.
Israeli officials said they hit 12 “planetary mixers”, purchased from China, which produce solid fuel for long-range ballistic missiles. They assessed that remanufacturing the mixers could take at least a year.
A senior US official confirmed that the strike had crippled Iran’s missile production capability.
The Iranian Armed Forces maintained on Saturday that Israel caused “minor damage” in attacks on radar air defense systems in Khuzestan, Ilam, and Tehran. They said repairs were underway, and air defenses had neutralized most of the Israeli missile and drones.
The Iranian officials who spoke with The New York Times said Iran’s Supreme National Security Council held an emergency meeting on Saturday, with military commanders briefing members on the scale of damage and the targets. The Council discussed how Iran should respond but no decision has been made.
UPDATE 1843 GMT:
US President Joe Biden says he hopes the Israeli strikes on Iran overnight are “the end”.
Biden said it appeared that Israel only struck military targets.
UN Secretary General António Guterres said he is “deeply alarmed”: “All acts of escalation are condemnable and must stop.”
He reiterated an appeal to all parties to cease military actions, including in Gaza and Lebanon, to exert maximum efforts to prevent an all-out regional war, and to return to the path of diplomacy.
UPDATE 1836 GMT:
In a call with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi, Qatar’s Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani expressed his country’s “grave concern” over the possible consequences of Israeli strikes on Iran.
UPDATE 1829 GMT:
The Iranian military says four troops were killed in the early-morning Israeli airstrikes.
“Two more soldiers… have succumbed to their wounds and died,” the army said in a statement.
UPDATE 1301 GMT:
France’s Foreign Ministry has urged Israel to “refrain from any escalation or action likely to aggravate the context of extreme tension”.
In contrast, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz directed his message to Iran: “We cannot continue with massive reactions of escalation, this must end now.”
Warning of an “explosive escalation”, Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova said, “We urge all parties involved to exercise restraint, stop the violence, and prevent events from developing into a catastrophic scenario.”
UPDATE 1153 GMT:
Among the sites targeted by Israel was the S-300 air defense of Imam Khomeini International Airport near Tehran, according to two Iranian officials.
At least three Revolutionary Guards missile bases were targeted, the officials — one of whom is in the Guards — said.
They said one missile hit the Parchin military base while others were downed.
In 2022, an engineer was killed and another employee injured in a drone attack on Parchin.
UPDATE 1149 GMT:
Noting Israel’s airstrikes on Iran, Egypt has expressed grave concerned over the escalation in the Middle East, condemning all measures that threaten regional security and stability.
Cairo reiterated its call for a “quick ceasefire” in Gaza and an end to military operations in Lebanon.
UPDATE 1004 GMT:
Citing anonymous sources, Sky News Arabia says Iran has informed Israel through a foreign mediator that it will not respond to overnight strikes.
Tehran’s Foreign Ministry, citing Article 51 of the UN Charter, maintained, “Iran has the right and the duty to defend itself against foreign acts of aggression.”
UPDATE 0955 GMT:
Trying to project calm, Iran State outlet Press TV shows people in Tehran’s Laleh Park doing their regular morning exercises following Israel’s airstrikes:
Video shows people in Tehran's Laleh Park doing their regular morning exercises following Israel's claims of attacks on Iranian military sites. pic.twitter.com/ze6ymdYeZp
— Press TV (@PressTV) October 26, 2024
UPDATE 0930 GMT:
Iranian media report two soldiers were killed in Israel’s overnight strikes.
There are no further details, including location.
The Iranian Air Defense Corps asked “the people to maintain solidarity and peace”, while claiming that Israeli strikes on military centers in the provinces of Tehran, Khuzestan, and Ilam had been mostly intercepted with limited damage sustained in some areas.
UPDATE 0923 GMT:
Claimed footage of damage in Shamsabad, south of Tehran:
مشاهد أولية لآثار القصف الإسرائيلي على شمس آباد جنوب #طهران #إيران pic.twitter.com/cWcyUolfg2
— التلفزيون العربي (@AlarabyTV) October 26, 2024
UPDATE 0912 GMT:
The UAE has responded to Israel’s strikes on Iran:
The UAE strongly condemns the military targeting of the Islamic Republic of Iran and expresses deep concern over the continued escalation and its impact on regional security and stability.
The UAE emphasized the “importance of exercising the highest levels of restraint and wisdom to avoid risks and the expansion of conflict”.
Saudi Arabia took a similar line. The Foreign Ministry said the Israeli attack was “a violation of [Iran’s] sovereignty and a violation of international laws and norm”. It called for restraint and de-escalation from all parties, as expanding conflict in the Middle East “threatens the security and stability of the countries and people of the region”.
Hamas, facing Israel’s open-ended attacks on Gaza, posted:
[We] condemn in the strongest terms the Zionist aggression against the Islamic Republic of Iran, and the targeting of military sites in several provinces….
[This is] a blatant violation of Iranian sovereignty and an escalation that threatens the security of the region.
Pakistan’s Foreign Ministry declared, “Israel bears full responsibility for the current cycle of escalation and expansion of the conflict.”
In contrast, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer said, “I am clear that Israel has the right to defend itself against Iranian aggression.”
He continued, “I’m equally clear that we need to avoid further regional escalation and urge all sides to show restraint. Iran should not respond.”
ORIGINAL ENTRY: Israel carried out airstrikes on Iran’s military sites early Saturday.
The Israel Defense Forces claimed “precise strikes” on drone and ballistic missile manufacturing and launch sites and on air defense batteries, retaliating for Iran’s firing of 181 ballistic missiles on Israel on October 1.
See also Are Iran’s Missiles on Israel Just Another “Demonstration” Attack?
The strikes were carried out in waves over several hours across Iran. Attacks were reported in the Tehran, Karaj, Isfahan, and Shiraz areas.
The Assad regime also reported several Israeli strikes in southern Syria, and Israel hit buildings in southern Beirut in Lebanon.
The IDF said at 6 a.m. local time that the “Days of Repentance” operations were completed with “all goals achieved” and every warplane returning safely home. Dozens of aircraft, including fighter jets, refuelers and spy planes were involved around 1,600 kilometers from Israel.
The military declared that the strikes gave the Israeli Air Force “wider freedom of aerial action in Iran”, with a range of targets in the future. The IDF said in a statement:
The regime in Iran and its proxies in the region have been relentlessly attacking Israel since October 7th –- on seven fronts –- including direct attacks from Iranian soil.
Like every other sovereign country in the world, the State of Israel has the right and the duty to respond.
How Extensive Are The Attacks?
While details are awaited, the extent of the strikes appears far greater than Israel’s limited response in April to Iran’s “demonstration” missile and drone attacks on Israeli territory.
Iran confirmed attacks on military sites in Tehran and other parts of the country, but claimed only “limited damage” with air defense systems countering much of the missiles.
“The loud blasts heard around Tehran were related to the activation of the air defense system against the actions of Zionist regime which attacked three locations outside of Tehran city,” Iranian State TV reported.
An Israeli official asserted that Iranian claims of knocking down missiles was “a lie”. He said air defenses were a “total failure” with “zero interceptions”.
There were no apparent attacks on Iran’s nuclear sites or oil facilities, following international pressure on Israel to avoid those targets.
See also EA on International Outlets: Explaining Israel’s “Demonstration” Strikes on Iran in April
Israel’s political leaders issued no comment. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s office circulated a photograph of him with Defense Minister Yoav Gallant and generals at IDF headquarters in Tel Aviv. It said he held a security assessment with Gallant and the heads of the IDF and the intelligence services Mossad and Shin Bet.
In the US, White House National Security Council spokesperson Sean Savett said, “We understand that Israel is conducting targeted strikes against military targets in Iran as an exercise of self-defense and in response to Iran’s ballistic missile attack against Israel on October 1.”
Iran’s Supreme National Security Council approves military response to Israel: https://farsi.alarabiya.net/iran/2024/11/02
“Esmail Kowsari, a former commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), said that Iran’s regional allies will play an important role in the new military attack on Israel, and that “Iran’s military response” to Israel “will be definitive, accompanied by the resistance forces”.
Meanwhile, satellite evidence does not show damage to an S-300 battery located near Imam Khomeini airport in Tehran, as U.S and Israeli officials had claimed was destroyed: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GbKAtdBXQAA4JHN?format=jpg&name=medium
reza, GOHE ZIADI NAKHOR (talking shit more than you can fit in your mouth)
Even defenceless students don’t give a shit about your regime
https://youtu.be/t0kAuDTrmbM?si=XWliG0ykr7afM98n
Iran: Explosions seen as Israel launches missile strikes near Tehran: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hFLzpHKzuCQ
The footage captured by Iranians and uploaded on social media appears to show drones being shot at rather than ballistic missiles – but it is not certain.
Iran preparing strike on Israel from Iraqi territory within days: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/31/israel-iran-planning-attack-iraq
“Israeli intelligence suggests Iran is preparing to attack Israel from Iraqi territory in the coming days, possibly before the U.S. presidential election on Nov. 5….The attack is expected to be carried out from Iraq using a large number of drones and ballistic missiles carrying out the attack through pro-Iran militias in Iraq which could be an attempt by Tehran to avoid another Israeli attack against strategic targets in Iran.”
The Iranian military releases details about the strike on the country: https://x.com/i/status/1852006641522123048
1. 100 Israeli F-15s/F-16s took off from 3 airbases (Ramat David in the north, Hatzerim in the centre and Ramon in the south) to launch the attack.
2. The U.S provided logistical support and jammed Iranian radars.
3. The Israelis fired 84 air-launched ballistic missiles (Rocks, Sparrow, Lora) out of which 70 were intercepted by the air force and air defenses.
4. The Israelis also used drones and quadcopters in the attack (launched from close to or within Iran).
5. The targets were air defenses in Ilam and Khuzestan and missiles production facilities in Tehran and Semnan.
So, your source is another kosesher goo- aka bullshitter like yourself
[Editor’s Note: Alistair Crooke is a long-time supporter of the lines of Hezbollah and Iran’s regime — treat this with caution.]
Alastair Crooke, British diplomat and MI6 operative, claims no significant damage was done in Iran and that Israel partly aborted its limited missile strikes: https://www.tabnak.ir/fa/news/1268673
Apparently, an unknown Russian defense system based in Iran had locked onto the approaching Israeli warplanes over Iraq.
Iran apparently naked: https://www.jns.org/iran-naked-after-israel-knocks-out-its-air-defense-system/
“Israel has reportedly destroyed all four Russian-made S-300 missile batteries, as well as taking out radar systems needed to guide Iran’s ballistic missiles.”
Ballistic missiles use inertial guidance (accelerometers and gyroscopes) to navigate themselves to their target – they are not externally guided.
What visuals reveal about the impact of Israeli strikes on Iran: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/10/29/iran-israel-strikes-missiles-air-defense/
“Though Iran downplayed the extent of the impact, satellite imagery analyzed by The Washington Post shows damage to two radar sites associated with Iran’s air defenses and at least three sites associated with missile production.Damage to Iranian air defenses was visible in the west of the country, according to satellite imagery of radar installations near Ilam and Ahvaz, both within 50 miles of the Iraqi border.
The article does not mention any SAM sites in Tehran being affected but claims, erroneously, that the one struck at Ilam a Ghadir/Mersad defense system could house an S-300 battery.
reza thinks just because he rests his head up in his rear end people not to see who he is.
Well, despite reza efforts in hiding the disaster over the weekend the detail come out.
IDF also targeted north east of iran, well passed central iran and demolished more facilities than the regime stooges like to talk about.
https://www.radiofarda.com/a/israeli-strike-likely-hit-important-iran-missile-base-in-shahroud/33178652.html
https://www.google.com/maps/place/Shahrud,+Semnan+Province,+Iran/@36.3012689,46.6027296,3229248m/data=!3m1!1e3!4m6!3m5!1s0x3f9d058a8161bd1b:0xf9fca572e644d199!8m2!3d36.4182558!4d54.9691735!16zL20vMDkxOTF2?entry=ttu&g_ep=EgoyMDI0MTAyNy4wIKXMDSoASAFQAw%3D%3D
BBC Verify lists 10 structures struck in Iran: https://www.bbc.com/persian/articles/crez7q8dnzlo
4 buildings at Parchin
2 buildings at Khojir
2 buildings at Shahrood
1 radar site in Ilam
1 storage building at the Abadan refinery complex
There is also footage of a building at Shamsabad hit and a radar site at Mahshahr was reported hit. Nothing on the S-300 sites.
khamenei hich gohi nemitooneh dar barabar israel bokhoreh (khamenei can’t do a shit with israel, but he is a lion when it comes to executing defenceless prisoners for bogus charges.
Iran Executes Iranian-German National Convicted Of Terrorism-Related Offenses
https://www.rferl.org/a/iran-execution-prisoner-sharmahd-terrorism-germany/33176601.html
Despite reza’s frequent desperate bullshit posts, the ongoing joke in iran these days among people is “don’t worry about airliners not flying in and out of iran due to circumstances, the IDF is filling that gap…”
[Editor’s Note: Buyer beware with this comment — the “doubts” are over damage to a single SAM site not multiple “sites”.
And the April attack is misrepresented here. This is the actual conclusion of the analysis of the Esfahan damage: “The attack shows the capability of Israeli stand-off weapons to target deep inside Iran, evading detection and air defenses, leaving Iran’s nuclear and military facilities more vulnerable to attack.”]
Doubts emerge over claims of extent of damage to Iranian SAM sites: https://x.com/AuroraIntel/status/1850816235149168656
“We obtained a high-res satellite image of the SAM site in Tehran that many are saying was struck by Israel. Image is not conclusive. Some disturbance appears to have occurred around an established berm where an air defense asset is placed, beyond that the site looks untouched based on a quick look.”
This is similar to what happened in April at the Esfahan airbase where a fire control truck was damaged, possibly set alight, but the rest of the SAM site was unaffected: https://isis-online.org/isis-reports/detail/assessment-of-israeli-strike-on-iran-near-esfahan
The weapons used by Israel, air-launched ballistic and cruise missiles, are quite precise but low-yield and so can inflict limited damage.
The analysis by David Albright of the ISIS actually shows that the missile launched in April did penetrate Iranian airt defenses but narrowly missed, causing a crater next to the fire control truck, and damaging but not destoying it in the process. Farnaz Fassihi of ther NYT alleges that the Israelis used drones to attack some of the sites, as well as missiles: https://x.com/farnazfassihi/status/1850327265227448828
Here is what we know of the Israeli strikes: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/27/israel-strikes-iran-air-defence-systems-energy-sites
1. Missile production/storage buildings at Khojir, Parchin and Shahroud were either destroyed or damaged. It is unknown if the Iranians emptied them in advance (they were forewarned through leaks and messages), but there is no evidence of secondary explosions.
2. The Israelis hit two SAM sites for sure in Ilam and Mahshahr near the oil/gas installations: 4 AD operators were killed.
3. The Israelis claim to have hit the S-300 site at Imam Khomein airport and a Mersad air defense system at Parand but the evidence for this is inconclusive.
4. A building at Shamsabad was bady hit that is claimed to be involved in drone production but is actually a general engineering plant (Teico).
5. Israeli officials also claim that three other IRGC sites, Falagh, Shaid Ghadiri and Abdol Fath, were hit but no evidence is forthcoming yet.
An S-300 battery consists of up to a dozen vehicles: https://www.strategypage.com/htmw/htada/articles/20151215.aspx#foo
“Each S-300 battery consists of 4-8 launcher vehicles (each with two missiles, plus two reloads) plus radar vehicles and a command vehicle.”
Sina Toossi, formerly of the NIAC, offers his analysis on the Israeli strikes: https://x.com/SinaToossi/status/1850624131404103977
“Strikes hit targets at the Parchin and Khojir military sites near Tehran, two air defense sites in Ilam and Mahshahr, as well as Mersad and S-300 defense installations in Tehran. A suspected production facility for solid-fuel boosters, likely intended for various Iranian ballistic missiles, was also targeted in Shahroud in northeast Iran………..Satellite images, however, show that not all the above-ground structures, which are soft targets to begin with, appear completely destroyed. …..Additionally, some Iranian analysts suggest the lack of complete destruction may imply there were no secondary explosions, indicating limited destruction of any stockpiled materials. ………..Importantly, it remains unclear how much critical equipment or material was present at these locations during the strikes or how much was potentially relocated beforehand.”
Fereshteh Sadeghi, a conservative but objective commentator in Tehran, writes for The Cradle quoting [de facto Iranian regime spokesperson] Mohammad Marandi: https://thecradle.co/articles-id/27438
“The Iranians had conducted security and intelligence operations ahead of the strikes and succeeded in limiting the extent of damage by dummies and decoys as well as spreading misinformation about sensitive sites… the damage inflicted on Iranian military sites was not grave because the possibility of a direct confrontation with the United States convinced Iranians many years ago to relocate almost all sensitive sites and strategic production facilities underground. Neither warplanes nor missiles are able to penetrate into those underground facilities.” What remains on the ground are small workshops producing missile spare parts and they are scattered across the country, but not near borders, that’s why the strike failed to leave a significant harm.”
BUT: “Saturday’s direct hits on the Iranian capital and Iran’s provincial military facilities were the first since 1987, when former Iraqi President Saddam Hussein’s military forces rained missiles on Tehran and other Iranian cities. The psychological impact of targeting Tehran itself cannot be overstated; it represents a symbolic blow that challenges Iranian security and sovereignty and will likely necessitate a meaningful and calibrated response.”
My prediction. Iran will not retaliate massively to this direct attack by Israel as the United States effectively asked Israel not to hit energy infrastructure and government buildings. Iran does not want to be blamed for escalating the conflict any further. But Iran will do something like this:
1. Cyberattack against Israel and maybe the U.S also.
2. Hit Mossad assets in Iraqi Kurdistan and the Republic of Azeraijan.
3. Work with its allies to help them target Israeli bases.
4. Perform some sabotage/terrorist operation against soft Israeli/Jewish targets.
[Editor’s Note: The line from Iranian regime outlets on claims by Israeli and Iranian officials of damages from Israel’s airstrikes on military sites….]
“They said the Israelis had effectively taken out four S-300 air-defense systems that Iran had purchased from Russia. One was disabled in Isfahan Province in April and three on Saturday, at Tehran’s Imam Khomeini International Airport and the Malad missile base on the capital’s outskirts.”
There is no physical evidence that any of the 4 S-300 missile systems were destroyed. The one hit in April involved damaging a fire control truck which was quickly replaced. The Iranian military has said repairs are already under way for some of the radar installations hit: https://www.tasnimnews.com/fa/news/1403/08/05/3186505
There is evidence that Parchin and Khojir were struck but the Iranians would have had more than enough time to remove any key equipment from the buildings that show damage on satellite imagery: https://apnews.com/article/iran-israel-attack-satellite-photos-gaza-lebanon-wars-0c6ee6a8544268612cb7d49727d8449d
“The most telling damage could be seen in Planet Labs images of Parchin, some 40 kilometers (25 miles) southeast of downtown Tehran near the Mamalu Dam. There, one structure appeared to be totally destroyed while others looked damaged in the attack. At Khojir, some 20 kilometers (12 miles) away from downtown Tehran, damage could be seen on at least two structures in satellite images.”
“Satellite imagery analysed by the Associated Press and Reuters showed one totally destroyed structure and several damaged ones at Parchin, near Tehran, a site the International Atomic Energy Agency says is linked to the Iranian nuclear programme. Two buildings appeared to have suffered damage at the nearby Khojir military base, which western analysts believe is a production site for long-range ballistic missiles.” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/27/israel-strikes-iran-air-defence-systems-energy-sites
The Israeli used missiles that have low yield (500-600kg of explosive) compared to the 900kg bombs they are dropping in large numbers on Gaza and Lebanon. The Iranians claim many of the missiles hit decoys/dummies (something that Saddam Hussein used to great effect in the Gulf war with Scud launchers: https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/wgbh/pages/frontline/gulf/appendix/tp.html
[Editor’s Note: Portrayal of the Israeli attack from an Iranian regime outlet….]
How did Israel attack Iran? https://www.tehrantimes.com/news/505488/Iran-s-storm-looming
“Iranian authorities revealed details of the Israeli airstrikes on Saturday evening, stating that Israeli fighter jets launched an attack from Iraqi airspace, approximately 100 kilometers from the Iranian border. According to the statement released by the Iranian Armed Forces, the Israeli jets fired several long-range missiles equipped with cluster warheads at Iranian border radars. The majority of these missiles were intercepted by Iranian defense systems. While the jets attempted to enter Iranian airspace, they were unsuccessful. The statement further reported that some Iranian border radars were damaged in the attack but are undergoing rapid repairs.”
Personally, I doubt the Israeli warplanes tried to cross into Iran where they would have been engaged and shot at. But they would have to do so if they wanted to inflict substantial damage.
[Editor’s Note: Points 2 and 3 are unconfirmed claims from Iran State media.]
“Iranian media report two soldiers were killed in Israel’s overnight strikes.There are no further details, including location.”
The two soldiers were manning an air defense battery outside Mahshahr in oil-rich Khuzestan. Their names were Major Hamzeh Jahandideh and Chief Warrant Officer Mohammad Mahdi Shahrokhifar. They were part of the regular military. Some of other information:
1. It appears Israel used ALBMs fired outside of Iranian airspace. These can hit with precision but have limited explosive power.
2. They may also have used drones and cruise missiles, most of which were definitely intercepted by Iranian air defenses.
3. Israel did not attack Iranian ballistic missile launchers or storage sites, only production sites for them.
4. Only three provinces were definitely targeted: Tehran, Ilam and Khuzestan. Some Israeli media claim Esfahan, Alborz and Fars were also targeted.
Even your own herd of cattle( omaat gousaleh) who might follow your post don’t believe your kosesher. Post pictures of “intercepted” israili weapons.
It must be another eye opener for your herd of cattle that an “enemy air force” that has mapped out every crack and ravine that you might hide in. The day of reckoning is coming, hiding is getting harder and harder. It is coming.