Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan addresses a conference of the ruling Justice and Development Party, October 5, 2019 (Anadolu)
Syria’s Kurdish groups have warned against Turkish military operations in the northeast, as Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan says they could occur “today or tomorrow”.
The Autonomous Administration for Syrian Kurdistan (Rojava) said in a written statement on Saturday:
The components of our people in northern and eastern Syria have contributed to maintaining stability and security in our regions. We have not accepted any attempt to divide Syria or break up its social unity….The ongoing Turkish threats are serious and threaten the security and stability of the region, especially the areas liberated from ISIS [the Islamic State] and where the various components live in harmony.
Earlier in the day, Erdoğan stepped up months of declarations of possible cross-border operations, in a speech at the opening of the annual camp of his Justice and Development Party (AKP): “We gave all warnings to our interlocutors regarding the east of Euphrates and we have acted with sufficient patience. We’ve made our preparations, we’ve completed our operation plans, given the necessary instructions.”
Turkey’s State news agency Anadolu said nine trucks loaded with armored vehicles and one bus with military personnel had been sent to the border district of Akcakale in the southeast of the country.
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Huge military reinforcements for the #Turkish army are now heading towards the border near the Turkish province of $Orfa near #tell_Abyad pic.twitter.com/6lWffYJBbT— hussien khattab (@hussinkhattab) October 5, 2019
Ankara considers the Syrian Kurdistan Democratic Union Party (PYD) and its YPG militia, the leading faction in Rojava, to be part of the Turkish Kurdish insurgency PKK. But the YPG is the largest element in the US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces, created in October 2015 to push the Islamic State out of the northeast.
SDF spokesman Mustafa Bali said yesterday, “We will not hesitate to turn any unprovoked attack by Turkey into an all-out war on the entire border to defend ourselves and our people.”
Controlling the “Safe Zone”
Last December, after Donald Trump impulsively ordered withdrawal of US forces from Syria — following a call with Erdoğan — the Turkish President declared a “safe zone” along much of the Turkish-Syrian border and across the Kurdish cantons of Kobani and Cezire.
But the Pentagon pushed back against Trump’s command, in part because of concerns of a Turkish attack on Kurdish groups. About 1,000 US troops remain in Syria, half alongside the SDF and half at the Tanf base in eastern Syria on the Iraq border.
After months of tension and negotiation, Turkey and the US agreed on oversight of a “safe zone”, 480 km (270 miles) extending east across the Euphrates River to Iraq. Joint air and ground patrols began in early September.
However, the two sides did not clarify the depth of the zone — Turkey wants 30 km (19 miles) while the US has proposed 15 km — or the operational command of the patrols.
Throughout the past week, Erdoğan and senior Turkish officials have said that, tiring of US delay, they are ending the co-operation with the Americans. The President declared on Tuesday, “There is no other choice but to act on our own”. Defense Minister Hulusi Akar announced Friday, “We have completed our preparations in case of any possibility”, as Foreign Minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu proclaimed, “We must take steps to clear the terrorist organizations from our vicinity and return refugees there.”
See Syria Daily, Oct 4: US Concern About Turkey’s Military Operations In Northeast
Erdoğan has said that up to 2 million of the 3.6 million Syrian refugees in Turkey will be resettled in the zone. Most of the displaced are Arabs, raising the possibility of tension with Kurdish groups who have declared autonomy in their cantons.
The Turkish President maintained on Saturday, “”Our aim is, I underline it, to shower [the area] east of the Euphrates with peace.”
The Kurdish Autonomous Administration responded:
Today, the Turkish President renewed his threats to invade the region despite our commitment to all the terms of “the security mechanism” agreed upon with the United States of America to prevent the justification for any Turkish occupation as happened in Afrin, Jarablus, Azaz and al-Bab.
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Any new Turkish attack would destabilize the region, serve terror and be a real opportunity for ISIS to reorganize itself and thus take control of large areas of Syria.
SDF spokesman Bali summarized, “Simply, there will be a big gap in the towns that our forces will withdraw from to go to defend the border, and this will give Daesh the opportunity to return.”
In early 2018, Turkish forces and Syrian rebels took over almost all of the Kurdish canton of Afrin in northwest Syria, leaving the Kurdish political and military groups concentrated in Kobani and Cezire.
Rebel commanders said Friday that they will support Turkish operations, blaming the YPG for the the displacement of Arab civilians from the northeast.
Elizabeth Gawryie, Deputy Chairperson of the Executive Council of the Autonomous Administration and a member of the Syriac Union Party [said] that the people of northeast Syria are ready to resist any invasion.
https://dckurd.org/2019/10/01/for-syrians-a-turkish-invasion-is-the-biggest-threat/ 10/1/2019
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/middle-east-watch/kurdish-officials-had-no-advance-notice-trump’s-syria-announcement-86276 10/7/2019
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Based on five weeks of research in northeast Syria, [Amy Austin Holmes] found that there is fierce opposition to the Turkish plan by virtually all components of Syrian society, including Arabs, Kurds, Turkmen, Circassians, and Christians. According to […] Holmes, a fellow with the Wilson Center’s Middle East Program, the SDF is far more diverse than its origins as a U.S.-Kurdish pact might suggest. […] “In reality, my survey data shows the majority of SDF are Arabs. Members of the Christian and Turkmen minority in Syria have also joined the SDF.”
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/middle-east-watch/descendants-survivors-syriac-christians-oppose-turkish-‘safe-zone’-syria 5/16/2019
https://www.npr.org/2019/10/07/767904589/shocking-trump-is-criticized-for-pulling-troops-from-syrian-border 10/7/2019
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Statement by [European Syriac Union] regarding US withdrawal from northeast Syria
The European Syriac Union deeply regrets the unilateral decision of US President Donald Trump to allow the Turkish army to invade the Self-Administration of North East Syria (SANES). The peoples of SANES and the SDF – with its ally the USA – defended their territory against ISIS and the authoritarian Assad regime with the blood of thousands of Kurds, Syriacs, and Arabs. Based on their struggle, they created a stable and peaceful territorial co-existence. The US President has decided to wave this away, handing over its ally to Turkey and forfeiting historic democratic progress to the Turkish president. This decision benefits the Assad regime and Russia and removes any incentive to change Syria into a free democracy.
https://twitter.com/dvdvrgl/status/1181294650050715648 10/7/2019
https://www.european-syriac-union.org/press-releases-reader/stop-the-imminent-and-destructive-turkish-invasion-of-the-self-administration-of-north-east-syria.html 10/7/2019
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Ibrahim Murad: Russia incites Erdogan to occupy northeast Syria
The head of the World Syriac Union Party, Ibrahim Murad, called on the international community, the United Nations, the European Union and the Arab countries to stand against the aspirations of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, and prevent him from reviving the Islamic State terrorist organization again, stressing that Erdogan’s insistence on attacking northeastern Syria, its people and military forces, represented by the Syrian Democratic Forces, comprised of Syriacs, Kurds, Arabs and other components, have paid thousands of martyrs to protect the peoples of Syria and the entire Middle East, and with the support of the international coalition has been able to eliminate this most dangerous terrorist organization on earth, subsidized and funded by the government of Turkey and its President Recep Erdogan. Murad said in press statements that Russia is working to incite Erdogan to occupy the north and east of Syria, to force the Syrian Democratic Forces to resort to the Syrian regime and hand over the areas controlled and managed by the democratic self-administration, which is the safest and most prosperous region, in this case Russia believes that if it forces America to withdraw it would then become the biggest strategic winner
http://www.adarpress.net/english/index.php/news/2874-ibrahim-murad-russia-incites-erdogan-to-occupy-northeast-syria 10/8/2019
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z8LQ24Og4kE