Vladimir Putin is the lone attendee at an Orthodox Christmas Eve service in the Cathedral of the Annunciation, Moscow, Russia, January 6, 2023

I joined Times Radio’s Anna Cunningham yesterday to explain why Vladimir Putin declared a 36-hour “ceasefire” in his invasion of Ukraine from noon on Friday.

Far from marking Orthodox Christmas, Putin was “trying to change the news cycle so we don’t talk about those ongoing Russian missile attacks, including the killing of Ukrainian civilians”.

And he was also trying to divert attention from a series of setbacks — and the possibility of defeat — of his invasion, including:

  • The waning effect of the missile and drone strikes on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure;
  • Ukraine’s counter-offensives and Russia’s inability to make even small gains of territory in the east and south;
  • Anger and criticism within Russia of the hundreds of troop casualties in a New Year’s Day Ukrainian rocket attack on a barracks

The New Year’s Day barracks attack showed Russia’s vulnerability as Ukraine gets more assistance from the West. And Vladimir Putin certainly doesn’t want to talk about that, because there are a lot of people inside Russia who are upset, including some who are challenging the military leadership.

See also Ukraine War, Day 318: US Confirms $3.75 Billion Military Aid Package for Kyiv and Neighbors

How and Why Putin’s Ukraine Invasion Failed