I joined Times Radio’s Anna Cunningham on Monday to analyze the political, military, and economic situation in Ukraine and Russia as we enter winter and the 10th month of Vladimir Putin’s invasion.

Listen to Discussion from 42:49

I discuss differing assessments of the possibility of a further Ukrainian advance in the south and east before March.

Then I explain why Russia’s leaders are growing concerned that they might be held accountable for war crimes during the invasion.

See also Ukraine War, Day 285: Draft UN Resolution to Try Russian Leaders for Crimes of Aggression

And there’s another problem for Vladimir Putin: a majority of Russians, including in a poll commissioned by the Kremlin, now prefer negotiations with Ukraine over the continuation of his war.

It’s not just the Russian leadership who are worrying about losing the war. It’s some Russians who are beginning to turn against it.