The site of a deadly double explosion in Kerman in south-central Iran, January 3, 2024 (Fars)


A Weakened Iran Regime Lashes Out — and Gets Punched in the Nose

UPDATES: Israel Assassinates Iran Revolutionary Guards Commander in Syria


UPDATE, JAN 25:

The US secretly warned Tehran in advance of the Islamic State’s January 3 attack that killed 91 civilians in a ceremonial march in Kerman in south-central Iran, according to American officials.

The warning was based on intelligence which the US obtained about ISIS plans. It was given to Iran based on Washington’s “duty to warn” policy.

An official explained, “We provide these warnings in part because we do not want to see innocent lives lost in terror attacks.”

The officials did not say what channels were used to deliver the message. The US and Iran have not had formal diplomatic relations since the 1979 Islamic Revolution.


UPDATE, JAN 8:

The death toll from last Wednesday’s double bombing in Kermin in south-central Iran has risen to 91.

Two victims, including a child, died in hospital over the weekend.


UPDATE, JAN 5:

Altering their initial account, Iranian officials acknowledge that suicide bombers carried out Wednesday’s twin blasts in Kerman which killed at least 84 people and wounded 284.

Authorities had said that the two bombs were placed in bags. But an unnamed official told State outlet IRNA:

The suicide bomber in the first incident was a man who was completely dismembered as a result of the explosion and the identification of the suicide bomber is under investigation.

The cause of the second blast was most likely the same.

The revised statement matches the claim made by the Islamic State on Thursday as it took responsibility for the mass killing.

This morning Iran’s leadership has shifted its narrative from blame of Israel to blame of “US-created ISIS”. President Ebrahim Raisi declared that the US was seeking to “establish another Israel in the region with an Islamic appearance….The other Israel was supposed to be formed in the name of ISIS.”

Revolutionary Guards commander Maj. Gen. Hossein Salami added, “ISIS acts only as mercenaries for the US and Israeli regime.”

Iran Interior Minister Ahmad Vahidi claimed a “number of suspects” had been arrested. He gave no details.


UPDATE 1839 GMT:

The Islamic State has claimed for Wednesday’s explosions in Kerman in south-central Iran.

ISIS media outlet Al-Furqan claimed two suicide bombers detonated their explosive vests during the marches to the grave of Gen. Qassem Soleimani, on the fourth anniversary of his assassination by a US drone.

The statement, “And Kill Them Wherever You Find Them”, said the bombers targeted a gathering of “polytheists” remembering their “dead leader” Soleimani.

ISIS offered no proof and their account of the blasts differs from the claims in Iranian State media that the explosives were placed inside bags, rather than detonated by suicide bombers.


UPDATE 0920 GMT:

Iran’s National Medical Emergency Organization has revised the toll from Wednesday’s double explosion in Kerman to 84 killed and 284 injured.


UPDATE, JAN 4:

Israel has told allied countries that its intelligence services were not involved in the explosions killing at least 103 people in Kerman in south-central Iran on Wednesday, according to sources “familiar with Israeli operations”.

Officials told The Wall Street Journal that the nature of the attack does not match the pattern of Israeli operations that have targeted individuals or infrastructure associated with Iran’s military, security forces, and nuclear program.

The Iranian regime is blaming Israel. President Ebrahim Raisi said in an address on State TV, “Have no doubt that you will pay a heavy price for this crime and the crimes you have committed.”

But a White House official, citing US Government analysts, said, “I think this really looks like a terrorist attack – something we’ve seen in the past from ISIS. And this, as far as I understand, is our current version.”

State Department spokesman Matt Miller said the US “does not have any independent information” about the explosions and the State Department has “no reason to believe that Israel was involved”.


ORIGINAL ENTRY, JAN 3:

At least 103 people have been killed and 211 wounded in a double explosion at a memorial ceremony in Kerman in south-central Iran.

The crowd was marking the fourth anniversary of the killing of Qassem Suleimani, the head of the Revolutionary Guards’ Quds Force, by a US drone strike near Baghdad International Airport in Iraq. They were marching to his burial site in Golzar Shohada, the Garden of Martyrs cemetery.

Eyewitnesses and Kerman Mayor Saeed Tabrizi said the explosions were 10 minutes apart from 2:50 p.m. The first explosion occurred about 700 meters from Soleimani’s grave and the second one about one kilometer away.

Some reports claimed four blasts.

Among the dead were two rescuers, slain in the second explosion. Some people were injured by a stampede in between the detonations.

A senior Iranian official said the explosions were a “terroristic” attack, but not elaborate on who might be responsible. Others spoke of bombs, loaded in two bags, detonated remotely.