UPDATE, MAY 16:

I spoke further on Sunday with BBC Radio Wales about the legal and political situation around the imminent ruling by the US Supreme Court overturning Roe vs. Wade — and the potential effect on millions of American women with the restriction of their right to choose over abortion.

Listen to Discussion from 29:18

Almost overnight this has turned abortion into one of the lead issues, perhaps the lead issue, in the races for the US House and Senate across the country.

And we don’t know which way that goes.


ORIGINAL ENTRY, MAY 6: I joined Monocle 24’s The Globalist on Friday to evaluate options for restoring abortion rights in the US if the Supreme Court confirms a draft opinion overturning the 1973 legal and political benchmark of Roe v. Wade.

Listen from 21:50:

I explain why there is no chance of Roe v. Wade being codified as law by Congress, given President Joe Biden’s reluctance to challenge a Republican filibuster — and, even if he did, the unwillingness of Democrat Senators Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema to support the effort.

I focus on the harm to women from the bans and restrictions on abortion — “millions are going to be affected now, not in November” — and on the wider threat posed by the Court’s draft ruling to civil rights, including LGBT and minority communities.

Then I point to the people who can stop this damage: US voters in November’s mid-term elections.

If people really want to protect abortion rights and other rights in the US, the only way they can do it is by turning out in November and voting for the party that protect those rights.

I just can’t tell you that this is the way this will play out.