PHOTO: Ohio Governor John Kasich — Can he be the Republican establishment’s saviour against the Trump-Cruz threat?


Complementing our analyses of the outcome of Tuesday’s Presidential primaries in New Hampshire — won by Republican tycoon Donald Trump and Democratic Senator Bernie Sander — I had a series of interviews with BBC radio outlets yesterday to discuss the significance for the races ahead.

See also US Election Analysis: 5 Lessons from New Hampshire
US Election Analysis: The Republican Car Crash in New Hampshire
US Election Snap Analysis: Bad Night for Rubio, Even Worse for GOP Establishment

Take-away points:

1. “This will be a feel-good moment for progressive Democrats” — but Hillary Clinton will win the nomination and a unified Party will look to keep the White House in November.

2. “The Republican establishment will be very concerned that it does not have someone to face up to Mr Trump or to the other leading ‘rogue’ candidate, Senator Ted Cruz.”

3. “We may have something that has not happened since 1952 — by the time the Republicans get to their convention this summer, they will not have a candidate who has the majority of the pledged delegates.”

BBC Coventry: Listen from 2:48.00
BBC Wales: Listen from 1:51.36