EA WorldView

US Analysis: “Russia Compromises Trump” — A Beginner’s Guide

US Analysis: “Russia Compromises Trump” — A Beginner’s Guide
January 11
16:03 2017

PHOTO: Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin


[This feature has been updated on Thursday with more information bolstering the possible credibility of the evidence of links between Donald Trump and Russia — see US Feature: Update — “Russia Compromises Trump”]

In the latest escalation of the controversy around Russian interference in the 2016 US election — and possibly the incoming Trump Administration — an explosive two-page synopsis has summarized claims that Russia has compromised the President-elect over his financial and sexual affairs.

[Editor’s Note: BuzzFeed, the first outlet to publish the synopsis, has the other memoranda. These are being reviewed.]

See also US Analysis: Russia, Trump, and US Election — 4 Key Points About the Intelligence Report

The Claims

Dated 20 June 2016, the synopsis asserts, “Russian regime has been cultivating, supporting and assisting TRUMP for at least 5 years. Aim, endorsed by PUTIN, has been to encourage splits and divisions in western alliance.”

Trump declined Russian enticements of real estate deals, but “he and his inner circle have accepted a regular flow of intelligence from the Kremlin, including on his Democratic and other political rivals”.

Meanwhile, a “former top Russian intelligence officer” said the Russian security service FSB compromised Trump during his visits to Moscow, with proof of his “perverted sexual acts” arranged and monitored by the service.

Russian intelligence also compiled a dossier on Hillary Clinton based on “bugged conversations she had on various visits to Russia and intercepted phone calls”.

The Document

The synopsis is drawn from a 35-page compilation of research memoranda, initially commissioned by anti-Trump Republicans as the President-elect became a front-runner in the 2016 primaries and then by Democrats. The work was carried out by Christopher Steele, a former operative of the British intelligence service MI6 who spent two decades on Russian intelligence matters — he is now with Orbis, a London-based firm that gathers information on Russia for corporate clients.

Some of the memoranda began circulating last summer. With Trump now the Republican nominee for the Presidency, US intelligence agencies began checking some of the sources, including a “former British intelligence operative and his vast network throughout Europe”. Knowledge of the investigation began to spread: in October, the Democratic leader in the Senate, Harry Reid, wrote FBI Director James Comey, “It has become clear that you possess explosive information about close ties and coordination between Donald Trump, his top advisors, and the Russian government — a foreign interest openly hostile to the United States.”

As intelligence agencies briefed Trump and President Obama last Friday about the evidence of Russia’s hacking and influence campaign during the election, they also gave a summary of the memoranda to Trump, Obama, and eight Congressional leaders. This did not have details of sources and methods in the memoranda, but was still so sensitive that it was not included in the classified report about Russian hacking that was more widely distributed.

Trump calls on Russia to hack Hillary Clinton’s e-mails

The Sources

The synopsis mentions seven sources.

Three — a “senior Russian Foreign Ministry figure”, a “former top-level Russian intelligence officer”, and a “senior Russian financial officer” set out the Putin-directed operation to cultivate Trump. The “former top-level Russian intelligence officer” also describes the dossier that could compromise or discredit Hillary Clinton, dating back to President Bill Clinton’s activities in the 1990s.

A “close associate of Trump who managed his trips to Moscow” confirms Russia’s passing of information to the Trump campaign and mentions the Russian offer of real estate deals.

Two — one whose identity is concealed and a female member of hotel staff — as well as the “former top-level Russian intelligence officer” describe Trump’s “perverted” conduct with prostitutes in the Presidential Suite of the Ritz Carlton Hotel in Moscow, under surveillance by the Russian security service FSB.

A “senior Kremlin official” says the Clinton dossier is handled personnel by Dmitri Peskov, the chief Kremlin spokesman.

Is Trump Compromised?

The two-page synopsis and other memoranda establishes links between the Trump campaign and Russian officials. However, the synopsis does not present any case of Trump or any of his staff carrying out an action at the behest of the Russian Government or in coordination with the Kremlin.

However, the document does establish a vested interest of both the Russian Government, through its influence in the US election, and Trump to conceal any indication of the relationship. It also is clear in its belief in the potential of Moscow to compromise Trump further through blackmail with the proof of the President-elect’s “sexual activity”.

Beyond the information in the synopsis, parallel sources — including CIA officers and another former British intelligence officer — say there are multiple audio and videos of Trump, not only in Moscow but also in St. Petersburg. The CIA officers say the material is “credible”.

Are the Allegations True?

Both Donald Trump and the Kremlin have tried to discredit the report or at least spread doubt, with each quoting the other:

However, the task of wishing away the intelligence as false — using the contemporary label of “fake news” — is far more difficult than the dismissal of the claimed information of Saddam Hussein’s weapons of mass destruction that spurred the 2003 Iraq War.

In that case, much of the claim relied on a single, suspect human source. In this case, there are multiple sources across dozens of memoranda.

Trump and the Russians need to establish that all, or at least most, of those sources are lying or mistaken. Alternatively, they could argue that the British intelligence officer and the private US intelligence firm that initially gathered the information are lying or mistaken.

The US intelligence community’s assessment of the past reliability of the former British intelligence officer — and its willingness to take this report to the President, Trump, and the Congressional leaders — indicate its confidence that the evidence is solid enough to warrant further investigation.

CNN’s checking of the memoranda adds to this range of officials standing against an easy dismissal of the claims: “In preparing this story, CNN has spoken to multiple high ranking intelligence, administration, congressional and law enforcement officials, as well as foreign officials and others in the private sector with direct knowledge of the memos.”

In an opening illustration of the Russian State’s response and the challenge it faces, Sputnik News has tried the line that the intelligence bulletin board 4Chan created the hoax claim over Trump’s sexual activity in Moscow. The outlet offers no support for this, it does not explain confront the three sources cited in the synopsis, and it does not recognize that the memoranda come from a private US intelligence agency rather than US or UK Government intelligence agenices.

The salvation for Trump is that the allegation are limited by the inability for the sources to come out publicly to bolster them. That inability to present the witnesses for the case gives the President-elect some space with the public — whether it does so with those who have seen further classified detail is a different matter.

Trump v. US Intelligence Services

Although investigation of the memoranda has not definitely established if the Trump campaign knew of their existence, it is likely — given word spreading about them in Washington’s political circles in summer 2016 — that the President-elect and his team were aware.

Concern over exposure could thus have motivated Trump’s campaign against the US intelligence services, spurred by evidence of Russian hacking and influence operations, after the election. The intent would be to intimidate the services into not pursuing an investigation or withholding any outcome — and, if they insisted on disclosing material and analysis, discrediting them in advance.

If this was the case, Trump’s tactics have backfired dramatically. The pressure on the intelligence services has only spurred them to move ahead with the enquiry, and to leak findings either directly to the media or to confidants who would do so.

What’s Next?

Some outlets have already jumped to speculation about whether Trump could be impeached if the veracity of the memoranda is established.

Even if the legal conundrum can be resolved — can you impeach a President for acts committed before he took office? — it is too soon to jump to this scenario. No impeachable offense, such as the handover of sensitive information from the Trump campaign to Moscow, is established in the synopis. The two pages merely establish the potential for Trump acting on the behalf of Moscow or being manipulated by the Russians.

Instead, the immediate effect will be to curb Trump’s power even before Inauguration Day. Even if the President-elect can convince many among the public that there is nothing to see — or that he is a victim of the media and political opponents, he is unlikely to get far with leaders in Congress and members of his own agencies, including the intelligence services. The growing belief in the suspect position of the President is likely to spur further opposition to accepting him as a reliable Chief Executive, and to endorse actions will be suspected of complicity with a powerful outside actor.

Related Posts

About Author

Scott Lucas

Scott Lucas

Scott Lucas is Professor of International Politics at the University of Birmingham and editor-in-chief of EA WorldView. He is a specialist in US and British foreign policy and international relations, especially the Middle East and Iran. Formerly he worked as a journalist in the US, writing for newspapers including the Guardian and The Independent and was an essayist for The New Statesman before he founded EA WorldView in November 2008.

Related Articles

30 Comments

  1. gunny
    gunny January 11, 16:32

    For the first time, Russia used a hacking operation during the election compaign, one that collected and released massive quantities of stolen information, to meddle in an American presidential election. The
    inspiration and template for this new attack was a poisonous cocktail of fact and fabrication that the Russians call kompromat, for “compromising material.”

    Kompromat had been deployed by the Soviet Union since at least the 1950s, but later the Kremlin gave the tactic a high-tech update.In 2009, a senior British diplomat working in Russia was forced to resign after the appearance online of a four-minute video that showed him having sex with two blond women in a brothel..

    That`s the idea and the structure how “Kompromat” works. One of the first American targets of kompromat was Victoria Nuland, who served as the top U. S. diplomat for Europe during Obama’s second term. In February 2014, at the peak of the crisis in Ukraine, Nuland was surreptitiously recorded while speaking on the phone with the U. S. ambassador to Kiev. Frustrated with Europe’s lackluster response to the Ukrainian crisis, Nuland said, “Fuck the EU.” Shortly after, an aide to the Russian deputy prime minister tweeted a link to a recording of the intercepted phone call. The State Department called the leak “a new low in Russian tradecraft.”

    The next step was the international russian fascist blogger army who was deeoply engaged to use the Nuland quote to discredit the cooperation between America and the EU related to Ukraine.

    Next Example was the leaked e-mails by russians of Hillary Clinton. The russian approach was the same and was carried out according to the same pattern.

    Before anybody knew what had happened in Europe, thousands of blogs came up with a strange mixture of fiction and nonfiction (Kompromat) with the only goal to defame Hillary Clinton..

    Those people who have used the gathered material from the British intelligence officer and the private US intelligence about Donald Trumps Connections to russia have obviously understood how “Kompromat” works. They simply have anticipated the case when the Kremlin is going to publish the propaganda material at a right moment to influence the public opinion.

    This weapon of russian fascists has now become dull.. What kind of connections and contacts Trump has had with Russian officials will come to daylight in the coming weeks and months. But not through cyber war activities of russian cyber warriors.

    .

    Reply to this comment
    • Harriet Logan
      Harriet Logan January 11, 19:17

      Funny that the Democratic Party war monger types are calling others fascists because they messed up so big and lost the WH.

      ‘The next step was the international russian fascist blogger army who was deeoply engaged to use the Nuland quote to discredit the cooperation between America and the EU related to Ukraine.’ and yada yada yada…

      The center of the Ukrainian Far Right nationalist crowd that wants to exterminate all Ukrainian opposition to itself is Lviv. This is a city that was 75% Jewish and Polish before the Ukrainian fascists murdered them off in WW2. Today it has less than 1% left of the survivors of this bloodshed. And now look what these ugly thugs have done to Eastern Ukraine all the while blaming their destruction of their own country on Russia. What vicious stupidity these people always demonstrate.

      Reply to this comment
      • gunny
        gunny January 11, 21:02

        Under Putin’s watch, the Russian government has developed a toolkit of political, economic, informational, and military mechanisms aimed at progressing its foreign policy interests. This toolkit
        has been refined since Putin took office in 2000 and deployed with increasing sophistication in Russia’s immediate neighborhood since 2008
        .
        Since the Euromaidan Revolution of 2013,Ukraine has witnessed the application of all the levers of
        influence and destabilization at the Kremlin’s disposal: the manipulation of Ukraine’s national politics, the exertion of economic pressure through energy dependence, and the launching of an information war aimed at discrediting the Maidan as a democratic movement

        With the illegal annexation of Crimea in March 2014 and the war in the Donbas, the Kremlin resorted to
        its tool of last resort: directmilitary intervention However, the Kremlin’s destabilization efforts have aimed at countries far beyond its bordering states, reaching far into Eastern and Western Europe
        Military intervention, the toolof last resort that the Russian Federation was able to deploy in Ukraine is not an option for NATO and EU member-states, at least not without harsh consequences that even Putin would be unwilling to accept. In Europe, the Kremlin’s destabilization efforts have been subtler.

        Putin has focused on the establishment of a relationship of mutual understanding and ideological congruence between Europe’s far-right parties and the Putin doctrine, or Putinism. Investing both financial and ideological resources in parties on the extremes of the political spectrum (both right and left) is a frequently used strategy in the Kremlin’s toolkit of influence. Such parties and movements, while usuall y on the fringe of mainstream politics, can serve to fracture political coalitions even with low levels of electoral or public support.

        However, two aspects of the relationship between the Kremlin and far-right parties in Europe are unique and particularl y dangerous to the future of the EU: the breadth and depth of ideational overlap between Putinism as an ideology and far -right discourses with Euroskepticism and anti-Westernism as the master frame and (2) the growing popularity of far-right parties across Europe since 2008 , which has propelled many such parties from the fringes and into the mainstream of national politics.

        .

        Reply to this comment
        • Andre De Angelis
          Andre De Angelis January 12, 00:10

          the Russian government has developed a toolkit of political, economic, informational, and military mechanisms aimed at progressing its foreign policy interests. This toolkit
          has been refined since Putin took office in 2000 and deployed with increasing sophistication in Russia’s immediate neighborhood since 2008

          The set up an entire agency called the NSA to to this very thing.

          the manipulation of Ukraine’s national politics

          You don’t get more egregious manipulation of Ukraine’s national politics than conducting coup to overthrow a democratically elected leader

          the exertion of economic pressure through energy dependence

          The junta in Kiev has declared war on ethnic Russians. In the scheme of things, this is a benign response.

          and the launching of an information war aimed at discrediting the Maidan as a democratic movement

          …to counter an information war aimed at marketing the fascist pro Maidan coup as a democratic movement

          With the illegal annexation of Crimea in March 2014 and the war in the Donbas, the Kremlin resorted to its tool of last resort: directmilitary intervention

          There has been no direct military intervention, hence no evidence of one in the 3 years since the conflict began. Even the OSCE who are on the ground have stated there has been no evidence of a Russian invasion.

          BTW. Crimea voted to break away from Kiev and unite with Russia as is their right.

          However, the Kremlin’s destabilization efforts have aimed at countries far beyond its bordering states, reaching far into Eastern and Western Europe

          Rubbish. There have neen no destabilization or military intervention efforts.

          In Europe, the Kremlin’s destabilization efforts have been subtler.

          Read: Non existent.

          Putin has focused on the establishment of a relationship of mutual understanding and ideological congruence between Europe’s far-right parties and the Putin doctrine, or Putinism. Investing both financial and ideological resources in parties on the extremes of the political spectrum (both right and left) is a frequently used strategy in the Kremlin’s toolkit of influence.

          What a joke. The US has been doing this since 1953 and Nuland has been filmed admitted the US poured 5 billion into manipulating Ukraine politics and society. This includes support for neo Nazi groups.

          On the infamous phone call, Nuland is heard endosrsing Neo Nazi Svoboda leader Oleh Tyahnybok. Here he is giving the Nazi salute
          http://i44.tinypic.com/2ez1m3k.jpg

          Here he is posing alongside Nuland
          http://covertbookreport.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/nuland-in-ukraine.jpg

          And here he is, sharing hands with John McCain
          http://i.imgur.com/TD6Nory.jpg

          BTW. It is against the policy of this blog to cut and paste entire articles. Stop plagiarizing and please include URLs

          Reply to this comment
          • gunny
            gunny January 12, 12:28

            It’s undoubtedly true that Putin has sought to weaken western institutions and the transatlantic alliance,
            plus the EU. Over the past 16 years he has sought to re-establish Russia as an indispensable global player, and to challenge what Moscow sees as unfair US hegemony.
            =
            It claims Trump’s personal lawyer, Michael Cohen, was the point-man for surreptitious meetings with the Russian leadership. It alleges that in late August or early September 2016 Cohen flew to Prague, where he met Russian officials at the offices of Rossotrudinichestvo, a Russian government cultural organisation.
            =
            Additionally, the dossier alleges that Trump’s foreign policy aide Carter Page visited Moscow in July 2016, where on 7 or 8 July he held a secret meeting with Igor Sechin, head of the Russian state oil company Rosneft and Putin’s de facto deputy. The report says that Sechin said that future energy deals depended on a Trump administration’s willingness to lift sanctions, imposed by the Obama administration in 2014 after Putin annexed Crimea.
            =
            The dossier claims that Page also met Igor Devyekin, a senior official from the presidential administration, who indicated that the Russians had kompromat on Clinton and Trump, and allegedly added that Trump “should bear this in mind”.
            ========================================
            Cohen says he has never been to the Czech Republic.
            =========================================
            He says that he and his son were watching a baseball game in the US on 29 August, a date suggested for the secret rendezvous. Reporters from the New York
            ==========================================
            Times and Washington Post have been to Prague. Thus far, they haven’t been able to verify the story. Czech intelligence officials probably won’t confirm it – if it ever happened – and will be reluctant to antagonise the new US administration.
            ==========================================
            ==========================================
            Page’s visit to Moscow did take place.
            ==========================================
            ==========================================
            Who precisely he met there is unclear, though Page has denied seeing Sechin, and has described allegations that he met Russian officials as “complete garbage”. An American oil industry consultant, Page has trenchantly opposed US sanctions on Russia. Trump was asked at his press conference if his team had had any contacts with Russian officials.
            =
            He didn’t give an answer.
            =

            Reply to this comment
            • gunny
              gunny January 12, 12:31

              Page’s visit to Moscow did take place.- thats the import fact but Page is denying that he had been at Prague. Thats the explosive which will hunt Page the next weeks.

              Reply to this comment
          • gunny
            gunny January 12, 12:52

            The developement of Russian cyber war hacking against the west
            ====================================================
            ====================================================
            Russian spies did not, of course, wait until the summer of 2015 to start hacking the United States.
            ===
            This past fall, in fact, marked the twentieth anniversary of the world’s first major campaign of state-on-state digital espionage. In 1996, five years after the end of the USSR, the Pentagon began to detect high-volume network breaches from Russia.
            ====
            The campaign was an intelligence-gathering operation: Whenever the intruders from Moscow found their way into a U. S. government computer, they binged, stealing copies of every file they could.
            ===
            By 1998, when the FBI code-named the hacking campaign Moonlight Maze, the Russians were commandeering foreign computers and using them as staging hubs. At a time when a 56 kbps dial-up connection was more than sufficient to get the best of Pets.com and AltaVista, Russian operators extracted several gigabytes of data from a U. S. Navy computer in a single session. With the unwitting help of proxy machines—including a Navy supercomputer in Virginia Beach, a server at a London nonprofit, and a computer lab at a public library in Colorado—that accomplishment was repeated hundreds of times over. Eventually, the Russians stole the equivalent, as an Air Intelligence Agency estimate later had it, of “a stack of printed copier paper three times the height of the Washington Monument.”
            ==
            The Russians stole the equivalent of “a stack of printed copier paper three times the height of the Washington Monument.”
            ==
            The Russians’ tactics became more sophisticated over time; they even hacked satellites to cover their tracks. But while the American code names used to track the Russian effort changed—from Moonlight Maze to Storm Cloud to Makers Mark—the operation itself never really stopped. Over the next two decades, the FSB (successor to the KGB) and the GRU (Russia’s premier military intelligence organization) went after political and military targets, while the NSA and the UK’s GCHQ returned the favor.
            ===================================================================
            This sort of espionage was business as usual, a continuation of long-standing practice.
            ===================================================================
            And during the cold war, both the USSR and the United States subtly, and sometimes covertly, interfered with foreign elections.
            =============================================================================
            =============================================================================
            What changed over the past year, however—what made the DNC hack feel new and terrifying—was Russia’s seeming determination to combine the two.
            =============================================================================
            =============================================================================
            For the first time, Russia used a hacking operation, one that collected and released massive quantities of stolen information, to meddle in an American presidential election. The inspiration and template for
            ==============================================================================
            this new attack was a poisonous cocktail of fact and fabrication that the Russians call kompromat, for “compromising material.”
            ==============================================================================
            =
            Everybody is talking about the russian cyber war against the west.
            But it`s time to say that Russia already had begun the real war, too – look to Georgia,, Crimea, Ukraine and Syria – the next will be the baltic States and Libya where Putin seeks to send military equipment against the will of the United Nation.
            =
            It`s time to get some appropriate answers to the Russian cyber war and war activities.

            Reply to this comment
    • Andre De Angelis
      Andre De Angelis January 11, 23:57

      The
      inspiration and template for this new attack was a poisonous cocktail of fact and fabrication that the Russians call kompromat, for “compromising material.”

      Rubbish.

      First of all, to this day there is no evidence of Russian hacking.

      Secondly, all the emails Wikileaks published were legitimate and factual

      One of the first American targets of kompromat was Victoria Nuland, who served as the top U. S. diplomat for Europe during Obama’s second term.

      Nuland was caught in the act of orchestrating a coup in Ukraine.

      The State Department called the leak “a new low in Russian tradecraft.”

      This is the same State Department which said the phone call could not be trusted because it was published on Youtube, the cites Youtube and social media every time they are called to provide evidence of allegations against Syria and Russia.

      Reply to this comment
      • gunny
        gunny January 12, 12:19

        You Are you ill? You are suffering a Alzheiemr syndrom?

        But maybe you work at the garbage disposal – for two years you are using rhe word rubbish as an argument – you can not separate from your job as garbides disposal worker?

        The big picture

        What does the dossier which John McCain passed to FBI chief James Comey say?

        It says Vladimir Putin’s Russia has been “cultivating, supporting and assisting Trump for at least five years”. Moscow’s aim is “to encourage splits and divisions in the western alliance” and to upend the “ideals-based international order” set up after the second world war. Putin’s preference, according to the report, is for a return to the “Great Power” politics of the 19th century, where big states pursue their own interests.
        John McCain passes dossier alleging secret Trump-Russia contacts to FBI
        Read more

        The dossier says that Trump was offered “various sweetener business deals” by the Kremlin, but turned them down. The Kremlin also supplied Trump with “a regular flow of intelligence”, including on the Democrats and other political rivals.

        Russian spies put together compromising dossiers on both Clinton and Trump, the dossier says. The Clinton one was innocuous and mostly included bugged conversations.

        The Trump material, by contrast, was explosive. It includes lurid details from Trump’s visit in 2013 Moscow for the Miss Universe beauty pageant. According to the dossier, Trump stayed in the Ritz Carlton hotel, in the same suite used by Barack Obama. It says Russia’s FSB spy agency obtained compromising sexual material – kompromat – from the hotel suite. “FSB has compromised TRUMP through his activities in Moscow sufficiently to be able to blackmail him,” it says.

        Reply to this comment
      • gunny
        gunny January 12, 13:05

        The hacked Nuland telephon call
        ==========================
        ==========================
        Kompromat had been deployed by the Soviet Union since at least the 1950s,
        ==========================
        but in 1999 the Kremlin gave the tactic a high-tech update. With parliamentary elections fast approaching, and with post-USSR corruption at a peak, the government of president Yeltsin used anonymous websites to sling mud at opposition candidates.
        =
        One notorious kompromat repository was run specifically to slander the mayor of Moscow, a rising star in the opposition with his eyes on the presidency. In 2009, a senior British diplomat working in Russia was forced to resign after the appearance online of a four-minute video that showed him having sex with two blond women in a brothel.
        =
        One of the first American targets of kompromat was Victoria Nuland, who served as the top U. S. diplomat for Europe during Obama’s second term. In February 2014, at the peak of the crisis in Ukraine,
        =
        Nuland was surreptitiously recorded while speaking on the phone with the U. S. ambassador to Kiev. Frustrated with Europe’s lackluster response to the Ukrainian crisis,
        ======================
        Nuland said, “Fuck the EU.”
        ======================
        Shortly after, an aide to the Russian deputy prime minister tweeted a link to a recording of the intercepted phone call. The State Department called the leak “a new low in Russian tradecraft.”
        ======================
        The Nuland leak prompted a minor diplomatic hiccup between the European Union and the United States.
        =====================
        But the kompromat campaign of the past year appears to be aimed at much bigger game: the American electoral system. According to Reuters, the FBI first contacted the DNC in the fall of 2015, obliquely warning the Democrats to examine their network. It wasn’t until May, however, that the DNC asked for help from a cybersecurity company called CrowdStrike, which had experience identifying digital espionage operations by nation-states. CrowdStrike immediately discovered two sophisticated groups of spies that were stealing documents from the Democrats by the thousands.
        ======================
        ======================
        The russian hacks publishing allegedly compromising material is one side of the coin.
        The other dark side are fascist Putin Bloggers who take up this material and try to use this material as a blast for European-American relations.
        =====================
        =====================
        Everybody is waiting for the war between the European Union and Russia.
        But this war of fascist Russia against the rest of the world had already begun.. .

        Reply to this comment
  2. Abdelhafid Dib
    Abdelhafid Dib January 11, 22:12

    To my opinion , President TRUMP will face a big challenge of what he promised to create and secure more jobs to his people and will rise the economic growth between and 4 and 6 percent which is hard to realize . despite he made his candidate in the name of Republican party , he is a man of unestablishment according to shown behaviour . The positive of him, he is not hypocrite , not diplomat but frank and clear.
    After all, le’s wait and see.

    Professor Abdelhafid Dib

    Reply to this comment
  3. Andre De Angelis
    Andre De Angelis January 11, 23:19

    Seriously Scott, this kind of muck raking is beneath you. No one has verified that any of these allegations are credible.

    In that case, much of the claim relied on a single, suspect human source. In this case, there are multiple sources across dozens of memoranda.

    Not true. When the case for Iraq was being sold to the public, the Bush Administration were making the claims that the intel was also coming from multiple sources, even though it turned out that the multiple sources were all being fed by the same original source.

    CNN’s checking of the memoranda adds to this range of officials standing against an easy dismissal of the claims: “In preparing this story, CNN has spoken to multiple high ranking intelligence, administration, congressional and law enforcement officials, as well as foreign officials and others in the private sector with direct knowledge of the memos.”

    Are you for real? CNN is facing a lawsuit from Wikileaks over repeating false claims that Assange is wanted for pedophelia.

    The salvation for Trump is that the allegation are limited by the inability for the sources to come out publicly to bolster them.

    Actually, one could argue that the inability for the sources to come out publicly allows them to release false accusations without having to support them with evidence or fake scrutiny.

    The intent would be to intimidate the services into not pursuing an investigation or withholding any outcome — and, if they insisted on disclosing material and analysis, discrediting them in advance.

    It seems that the intent of the intelligence services and pro war factions in Congress has been to either, prevent Trump’s inauguration, delegitimise his office or discredit him, or to tie his hands in the events he attempts to improve relations with Russia.

    This is made clear with your comment that ” Some outlets have already jumped to speculation about whether Trump could be impeached if the veracity of the memoranda is established.”

    and…

    “Instead, the immediate effect will be to curb Trump’s power even before Inauguration Day.”

    and…

    “The growing belief in the suspect position of the President is likely to spur further opposition to accepting him as a reliable Chief Executive, and to endorse actions will be suspected of complicity with a powerful outside actor.”

    That is what this is all about.

    The pressure on the intelligence services has only spurred them to move ahead with the enquiry, and to leak findings either directly to the media or to confidants who would do so.

    What has backfired is that the intelligence community have come across as discredited. The recent report wasted 7 pages complaining about Hillary getting bad press coverage from RT and making such lame complaints that RT invited 3rd party candidates on to the show.

    A recent poll conducted by John Harwood of CNBC, who happens to be a Hillary Clinton supporter and chummy with John Podesta, found that 83% of respondents trusted Wikileaks over US intelligene 17%.

    The leaking of these allegations is a sign of desperation as it allows those leaking to make public accusations without remaining anonymous and putting the burden of proof on Trump.

    Reply to this comment
    • gunny
      gunny January 12, 00:32

      Theorignal speech of Trump:
      =
      When I leave our country, I’m a very high profile person, would you say? I am extremely careful. I’m surrounded by bodyguards. I’m surrounded by people. And I always tell them, anywhere, but I always tell them, if I’m leaving this country, “Be very careful. Because in your hotel rooms — and no matter where you go, you’re gonna probably have cameras. I’m not referring just to Russia, but I would certainly put them in that category — and number one I hope you’re going to be good anyway.

      But in those rooms you have cameras in the strangest places. Cameras that are so small with modern technology, you can’t see them and you won’t know. You better be careful or you’ll be watching yourself on nightly television.” I tell this to people all the time. I was in Russia, years ago, with the Miss Universe contest, which did very well. Moscow, the Moscow area. Did very, very well. And I told many people, “Be careful. Because you don’t wanna see yourself on television.” Cameras all over the place. And again, not just Russia. All over. Does anyone really believe that story? I’m also very much of a germaphobe, by the way. Believe me.”
      =
      What do think why Trump told all the crap?
      =
      Trump secures himself. He knows exactly what he stayed in Russia and he can never know what the material the Russians have gathered about him Putin will use against him later.
      =
      He surely has understand it after he has had some special meatings with CIA.
      =

      Reply to this comment
      • Andre De Angelis
        Andre De Angelis January 12, 00:39

        What do think why Trump told all the crap?

        Because any leader is vulnerable to compromise and blackmail. A few years ago it was revealed that Isreali intelligence installed cameras and bugged senior US diplomats.

        When Israel captured whistleblower, Mordachai Vannunu, they used a honeytrap.

        Trump secures himself.

        In which case, this story is BS.

        He knows exactly what he stayed in Russia and he can never know what the material the Russians have gathered about him Putin will use against him later.

        Again, that tells us that this story is BS.

        Reply to this comment
        • gunny
          gunny January 12, 13:27

          Your reply “Again, that tells us that this story is BS.- is the prove that have nothing say.
          ===================================================================
          Where are your proves for your stupid propaganda of despising and denying?
          ===================================================================
          You know as good as I`am that to say nothing – like you do is a confirmation of the claims
          that Russia is hacking western servers to use this material as political explosives.
          ===================================================================
          It looks like that you are a cyber warrior to prepare the russian war against ethe west.
          This is the only possible derivation which can be found in your unspoken and preposterous comments.
          =
          The action of the cyber warrior Angelis
          ==============================
          ==============================
          The rapid public reconstruction of the russian DNC break-in appears to have caught the hackers off guard.
          =
          Researchers surmised that the Russian spies had not expected to be identified so quickly, a theory that would explain, among other things, the peculiar animus Guccifer seemed to have for CrowdStrike. According to this hypothesis, the tradecraft blunders that Tait and others had identified were the result of a hasty effort by the GRU to cover its tracks.
          =
          As if to regroup after the initial rush of activity, Guccifer and DC Leaks went quiet at the end of June.
          =
          But the 2016 presidential campaign, already the most bizarre in living memory, had a further surprise in store, one that worked in favor of the Russians. At a time when only 32 percent of Americans say that they trust the media to report the news fairly and accurately, the hackers were about to learn that getting called out publicly didn’t really matter:
          =
          Their kompromat operations would still work just fine.
          =
          And that is exactly the horse that the Russian intelligence service rides.- together with Angelis and thousands of other brainwashed fascist Putin Bloggers.
          =
          Go ahead with your filthy handiwork.
          But you should not complain when Russia receives the right answer for for your cyberwar and war activities.

          Reply to this comment
    • gunny
      gunny January 12, 00:35

      Trump O tone
      ===========
      Russia, China, other countries, outside groups and people are consistently trying to break through the cyber infrastructure of our governmental institutions, businesses and organizations,” Trump said in a Friday afternoon statement, and underlined “there was absolutely no effect on the outcome of the election including the fact that there was no tampering whatsoever with voting machines”.
      =
      https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/jan/06/donald-trump-russia-hacking-meeting-intelligence-officials

      Reply to this comment
      • Andre De Angelis
        Andre De Angelis January 12, 00:41

        “there was absolutely no effect on the outcome of the election including the fact that there was no tampering whatsoever with voting machines”.

        According to Clapper, here was no tampering whatsoever with voting machines and no way to tell if the release of the emails had any effect on the outcome of the election.

        Note that those who are insisting the leaks effected the outcome were 100% wrong about the polls.

        Reply to this comment
    • gunny
      gunny January 12, 00:45

      SPEAKER

      Mr. President-elect, you said, just now, that you believe Russia indeed was responsible for the hacking of the DNC and John Podesta’s emails, et cetera

      Trump:
      All right, but you know what, it could have been others also. …………..

      (On Tuesday, the top intelligence community officials testified, reiterating that Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered the operation and did so with with the intent to undermine American democracy and also to try to get Trump elected. Director of National Intelligence James Clapper said he believed it to be true with “great confidence,” a phrase used by intelligence officials when they feel very certain about the findings) .

      Looks like if that will help Trump to find suitable answers to deal with Putin and his hackers ……….

      .

      Reply to this comment
      • Andre De Angelis
        Andre De Angelis January 12, 04:25

        Mr. President-elect, you said, just now, that you believe Russia indeed was responsible for the hacking of the DNC and John Podesta’s emails, et cetera

        No, he said it was possible Russia hacked the DNC server or that China might have. He did not suggest Russia passed any emails to Wikileaks.

        On Tuesday, the top intelligence community officials testified, reiterating that Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered the operation and did so with with the intent to undermine American democracy and also to try to get Trump elected.

        Impossible to know that of course unless they have a source close to Putin who could determine his intention.

        Director of National Intelligence James Clapper said he believed it to be true with “great confidence,” a phrase used by intelligence officials when they feel very certain about the findings

        That would be the same Clapper who has admitted to lying.

        Reply to this comment
        • gunny
          gunny January 12, 13:40

          The russian hack was a side of the Russian cyberwars only.
          ==============================================
          To spread this allegedly compromising material into all possible internet channels Was the real act of the Russian cyber war.
          ==============================================
          ==============================================
          On July 22, three days before the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia, WikiLeaks published the largest trove of files to date, which included nearly twenty thousand hacked emails.
          ==============================================
          ==============================================
          Press coverage of the release quickly centered on emails that suggested a bias among some DNC staffers in favor of Hillary Clinton. The leaked emails lent credence to a suspicion held by some Democrats that the party establishment had never intended to give Bernie Sanders,
          =
          Clinton’s opponent in the primaries, a fair shake. Protesters in Philadelphia held up signs that read election fraud and dnc leaks shame. One day before the convention, the Russian kompromat campaign took its first trophy: Debbie Wasserman Schultz, the DNC chair, resigned from the organization.
          =
          The episode shocked the Democratic establishment, not least because of what it augured for the future. As Clinton’s lead in the polls widened after the convention, commentators began to speculate that a
          ============================================================================
          ============================================================================
          damaging leak late in the campaign might be the only chance for Donald Trump to win the election.
          ============================================================================
          ============================================================================
          Fears of a Russia-sponsored October surprise grew as it became clearer that the subversion effort was improving. When files appeared, they were now scrubbed of the sort of distinguishing metadata that had allowed analysts to trace the leak back to Russian intelligence.
          =
          Using Wiki leaks to spread the material was the real escalation of the Russian war against the West.
          =
          In view of the elections in France Holland and Germany one can be curious how Russia will continue to control the war against the West.
          =
          .

          Reply to this comment
  4. Andre De Angelis
    Andre De Angelis January 12, 00:58

    Come to think of it, this is looking more and more like the Iraq case.

    First the public were led to believe that Saddam was behind 911.
    Then we were told he had WMD
    Then we were told he was planning to use those WMD against the US and it’s allies
    Then were told that Saddam was behind the anthrax attack
    Then came the BS about the meeting in Prague, the aluminum tubes, the Niger uranium

    The pattern here is simple. Just hammer away with new allegations to keep the news on the front page and the target on the defensive so that they are constantly having to deny the allegations.

    This sews enough doubt in the mind of the public even though they don’t get to see any of the evidence. The effect being that Joe Public accepts that even though none of the allegations are proven, there is enough smoke to suggest at least one of them has to be true.

    Reply to this comment
    • gunny
      gunny January 12, 14:01

      The “Iraq war” pseudo argument just clarifies that you running out of arguments.
      ==============================================================
      Is there anybody in the west who didn`t know that the Iraq war was started with partly incorrect arguments?
      ==============================================================
      What do you want to say? You want to say that this is legitimacy for Russia to chop western servers and start a propaganda and a real war against the West?
      ==============================================================
      The most effective outlet by far, however, was WikiLeaks. Russian intelligence likely began feeding hacked documents to Julian Assange’s “whistleblower” site in June 2015, after breaching Saudi Arabia’s foreign ministry.
      ==
      A group called WikiSaudiLeaks, probably a Guccifer-like front for Fancy Bear, claimed that “WikiLeaks have been given access to some part of these documents.” The so-called Saudi Cables showed princes buying influence and monitoring dissidents. They became a major news story, proving that the old methods worked even better in the twenty-first century.
      ==
      A leak released at the end of this past summer showed how frictionlessly the kompromat campaign was able to operate in the fact-free atmosphere of the 2016 American presidential campaign.
      ==
      Thats the first aim of russian cyber warriors like Angelis.
      To create A FACT FREE atmosphere In view of the upcoming elections in Europe.
      ==
      If you look into the important commentary columns of European newspapers, to find facts how Russian cyber warriors are adapting to the revelations of the Russian war against the West. It can be seen that they have responded more subtly since the Russian war against the West has become known to a majority.
      ==
      The important realization: The Russians continueing the war against the West – despite the revelations.
      ==
      This is a peculiar property of Putin to This is a peculiar property of Putin to beg for more beatings. .

      Reply to this comment
  5. Andre De Angelis
    Andre De Angelis January 12, 01:35

    Another similarity to the Iraq WMD propaganda build up was the reference to British intelligence or foreign sources. This was used with the fake Niger story.

    Reply to this comment
    • gunny
      gunny January 12, 14:13

      Looks like if you should read british revelations about the foundations of the Iraq war.
      ===================================================================
      But one question please . What does this have to do with the war that leads Russia against the West?
      ===================================================================
      Meanwhile, the kompromat campaign proceeded apace.
      =
      August and September each saw six data dumps, including files from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, which had also been hacked. In October, as the presidential election drew near, Guccifer published a massive cache, more than twenty-one hundred files.
      =
      Three days later, WikiLeaks began publishing thousands of emails stolen from John Podesta’s account.
      =
      On the day WikiLeaks published the first batch of Podesta’s emails, the U. S. government took the unprecedented step of announcing that it was “confident” Russia’s “seniormost officials” had authorized the DNC hacks. So far U. S. investigators have not said publicly who was responsible for the Podesta hack, but the data harvested by SecureWorks makes it clear that Fancy Bear broke into the Clinton chairman’s account as early as late March.
      =
      The CIA briefed Trump about the origin of the kompromat, but he continued to cite the material, telling a Pennsylvania crowd, “I love WikiLeaks!”
      =
      Wiki leaks and Assange are burned now. No one will continue to use any information from Assange to argue politically.
      ==
      But the important finding is that Russia continues the war against the West.The only interesting question is why Russia still believes that the West will not react to the ongoing military attacks of Russia.
      against western Nations and against the European Union.
      ==

      Reply to this comment
  6. Andre De Angelis
    Andre De Angelis January 12, 05:26

    NYT Blasts CNN, Suggests Russia Hacking Memo Is “Fake News”

    https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/10/business/buzzfeed-donald-trump-russia.html?_r=1

    Even CNN said they originally chose not to publish the fake story because they could not corroborate it.

    Reply to this comment
    • Scott Lucas
      Scott Lucas Author January 12, 06:48

      1. New York Times did not say fake. They said unverified/unsubstantiated. Big difference.

      2. CNN said they wouldn’t publish the 35 memoranda which BuzzFeed posted. CNN never said they would not publish the story — indeed, their reporting on it adds vital information.

      Reply to this comment
    • gunny
      gunny January 12, 14:20

      ======================================
      Weirdest of all was Trump’s embrace this week of Assange, the WikiLeaks founder and a person many U.S. officials, Republican and Democratic, see as having damaged U.S. national security by leaking classified documents about nearly every area of foreign policy.
      =
      When Assange sought to pooh-pooh Moscow’s role with a careful denial that his source hadn’t been “the Russian government” or a “state party,” he got three “Pinocchios” from The Post’s Fact Checker. But Trump treated him like a new friend. He approvingly tweeted Assange’s claim that U.S. media coverage was “very dishonest” and added: “More dishonest than anyone knows.”
      =
      Then, in one of those “who, me?” reversals that are a Trump specialty, he tweeted Thursday: “The dishonest media likes saying that I am in Agreement with Julian Assange — wrong. I simply state what he states . . . The media lies to make it look like I am against ‘Intelligence’ when in fact I am a big fan!”
      =
      We’ll soon see how supportive of U.S. intelligence Trump really is. But in recent months, his approach to the hacking story has been worryingly similar to Russia’s own response: It’s all lies, circulated by a dishonest media. Nobody can believe anything.
      = ===============================================================================
      ================================================================================
      This sort of information fog is precisely what Moscow seeks to spawn in its own propaganda campaigns. The Russian goal is “to corrode democratic norms and institutions by discrediting the electoral process and to tarnish the reputations of democratic governments in order to establish a kind of moral equivalence between Russia and the West,”
      ================================================================================
      ================================================================================
      But it looks like if Angelis the russian warrior fighting the rest of the world is russing out of ammunition.

      Reply to this comment
  7. Abdelhafid Dib
    Abdelhafid Dib January 12, 16:41

    Just to verify my last comment , I meant not hypocrite, so the word ” Not ” is missed.

    Thanks a lot.

    Reply to this comment

Write a Comment

Leave a Comment

An Introduction to EA

Subscribe to EA via Email

Enter your email address to subscribe to EA and receive notifications of new posts by email.

Donate to EA

Archive