Q&A: Why Israel Attacks Lebanon Despite US-Iran Ceasefire

EA on International Outlets: A Fragile US-Iran Ceasefire

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I joined PoliticsJOE on Thursday to explain how the US-Israel War on Iran could be a “hinge point in history”, with a realignment of the region and the world.

I begin the 37-minute discussion with an assessment of the current situation, including the temporary ceasefire and the prospect of US-Iran talks.

I explain how the Trump camp has miscalculated. With no Plan B for “regime surrender” and deciding not to launch a ground invasion, Donald Trump stumbled by accepting Iran’s terms as the basis for discussions. That forced the White House into a confusing retreat on Wednesday, as Tehran continues to control the Strait of Hormuz.

Then I look wider at how the survival of the Iranian regime; the economic shocks of the war; and Gulf States’ anger at the US will all contribute to a “turning of the kaleidoscope”, realigning relations across the Middle East and beyond.