Reformist activist Azar Mansouri is among those seized by Iran’s regime in recent days, following the killing of thousands during nationwide protests
Iran Protests — Nasrin Sotoudeh on Regime’s Deadly Repression
Following up its deadly repression of nationwide protests, Iran’s regime is arresting and sentencing prominent activists including Nobel Peace Prize laureate Narges Mohammadi.
Mohammadi was given a new 7 1/2-year sentence after she was returned to prison in December.
The additional sentence included 6 years for “gathering and collusion’ and 1 1/2 years for propaganda. Mohammadi also was handed another 2-year travel ban and an added two years of internal exile to the city of Khosf, around 740 km (460 miles) southeast of Tehran.
She was briefly allowed to speak to her lawyer, Mostafa Nili, on Sunday for the first time. She had been transferred to hospital but had been imprisoned before her treatment was complete.
Mohammadi has been serving 13 years and nine months, reduced from 38 years on appeal, on charges of collusion against state security and propaganda against Iran’s regime.
Reformists Detained
The head of the Reformists Front, central to the election of President Masoud Pezeshkian in 2024, has also been seized by the Revolutionary Guards.
Azar Mansouri, who is also the Secretary General of the Islamic Iran People party, had expressed deep sorrow at protesters’ deaths. She said nothing could justify such a catastrophe.
Ebrahim Asgharzadeh, the head of the Front’s political committee, and Mohsen Aminzadeh, a Deputy Foreign Minister in the administration of President Mohammad Khatami, were arrested.
At least two other prominent figures in the Front, an umbrella group of up to 27 reformist factions, have been told to appear at the prosecutor’s office in Tehran’s Evin Prison on Tuesday.
Every picture tells a story. Both allies of Iran’s President here in this photograph have been arrested by the IRGC. Azar Mansouri, head of the Reform Front, (on President’s left) was arrested Sunday & Javad Imam, spokesman of the Front, (on his right) was arrested early Monday. pic.twitter.com/PYKtjsLqE9
— Patrick Wintour (@patrickwintour) February 10, 2026
Further arrests on Monday included Hossein Karroubi, the son of former Parliament Speaker and 2009 Presidential candidate Mehdi Karroubi.
Mehdi Karroubi, who spent 14 years under house arrest until last March, said Iran’s problems are the direct result of the Supreme Leader’s destructive domestic and international politics. The Revolutionary Guards alleged Hossein Karroubi was the “inciter, compiler, and publisher of this destabilizing statement”.
“The Human Duty of Us All”
Mansouri said last week:
We will not allow the blood of these dear ones to be consigned to oblivion or the truth to be lost in the dust. Pursuing your rights and striving to clarify the truth is the human duty of us all. And with all our being, we declare our disgust and anger toward those who, ruthlessly and recklessly, dragged the youth of this land into earth and blood.
No power, no justification and no time can sanitize this great catastrophe.
Calling for Mansouri’s release, the National Unity Party condemned “security confrontations with well-known peaceful and non-violent forces that had pursued their activities within the framework of the law, especially at a time when the country faces external threats and serious internal challenges”.
Four other Iranian human-rights defenders were detained after signing a statement, backed by 17 prominent activists, demanding a “free, transparent referendum” for new, democratic government in Iran.
Those seized were Vida Rabbani, Abdollah Momeni and Mehdi Mahmoudian, and Dr Ghorban Behzadian-Nejad, a senior adviser to former Prime Minister Mir-Hossein Mousavi.
Mousavi, who likely gained the most votes in the 2009 Presidential election before the regime’s intervention, has been under house arrest since February 2011.
The statement from the 17 summarized, “The mass killing of justice seekers who courageously protested this illegitimate system was an organised state crime against humanity.”
https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/nginteractive/2026/feb/15/new-photos-give-glimpse-inside-irans-bloody-crackdown-on-anti-government-protests
““We started chanting and kept going until we reached the main road. Let me tell you we were a huge crowd. From one end of the main road to the other, it was full of people. Where we were on Thursday night, they didn’t shoot. It was just teargas and shots fired into the air. One guy was breaking stones and handing them to the young guys; another was making a fire and blowing into people’s eyes to ease the burning after teargas was fired. My own lungs were burning nonstop. On Friday, I went back to that same neighbourhood. There were a lot of us and we were no longer afraid. We attacked the Basij base and set fire to the motorcycles in front of it and its signs. That same night, I went to Salsabil [an area of Tehran] to look for my girlfriend. There, with my own eyes, I saw them killing people with Kalashnikovs. Two girls came and knocked on our car window and said, ‘Please, for God’s sake, let us in, they’re killing everyone.’ We took them in. One of the girls got into the car and broke down crying. She said, ‘They killed four boys right in front of my eyes.’”
The qualifications of 4985 candidates of the Tehran City Council were confirmed | Disqualification of 59 candidates: https://www.hamshahrionline.ir/news/1015754
“Hossein Khosh Eghbal, the deputy governor and governor of Tehran, described the process of reviewing the qualifications of candidates for the seventh round of the Islamic Council elections in Tehran, stating: “After reviewing the qualifications of candidates to participate in the elections of the Islamic Council of Tehran in the executive board of Tehran, out of a total of 5,056 registered people, the qualifications of 4,985 people have been approved and 59 have been rejected. He also announced that 12 candidates for this election have also withdrawn from the competition.”
That amounts to a 99% approval rate.
https://www.instagram.com/p/DUBIEf7jU5V/?igsh=MXVzcnZxYjAyNmRr
3 of the 5 arrested Reformist figures released on bail: https://donya-e-eqtesad.com/fa/tiny/news-4251973
A source in the government told reporters “After the arrest of these individuals, the president had personally pursued their release.”
I suspect this was a warning to tone down the rhetoric. I doubt prosecutions will follow even if charged. Reformists have local elections and parliamentary by-elections to contest.
https://www.facebook.com/reel/1003927212798615
Professor Lucas, your analysis reminded me of discussions we had around a decade ago regarding the reformability of the Islamic Republic. At that time, contrary to my own view, you maintained that reformist forces still possessed the capacity for meaningful change or gradual replacement from within the system. Regrettably, the past ten years—paid for with the blood of many Iranian citizens—have demonstrated that this potential never materialized. Instead, a significant portion of the reformist current functioned as a safety valve that ultimately helped sustain the regime’s authoritarian structure. Today, there is a growing consensus, both within Iranian society and internationally, that this system is fundamentally unreformable—a conclusion reached only after an immense human cost.
I think anyone can be forgiven for missed projections, if, if they had any basis for their assumption and projections.
But, in case of iran, since 1979 if you plot the brutality, corruption, power grab, lack of transparency, concentration of forces where the graphs all continuously are going up, it only indicates worsening of situation. In this case miscalculation is not forgivable, because this is not miscalculation, this is something else.
She Was Someone’s Sister: Three Women Killed in Iran’s January Protests
https://iranwire.com/en/features/149018-she-was-someones-sister-three-women-killed-in-irans-january-protests/
U.S. Weighs Seizing Tankers Carrying Iranian Oil to Pressure Tehran: https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/u-s-weighs-seizing-tankers-carrying-iranian-oil-to-pressure-tehran-f79555bd?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=AWEtsqc7zXHWLvgcb4q-irq3mjDRNnJESmRD7dsoOpbD7aAXXkPwDuPBkB0YfY7dTI8%3D&gaa_ts=698c68f2&gaa_sig=tKPeR39ax_5JICxs8vuVjD3whN6kf5JPjuH11ZaysKwd8hdy8tErEvbR0VcF-ei6Zus_fPM7cFPb89Wn1WpsEQ%3D%3D
“Trump administration officials have discussed whether to seize additional tankers involved in transporting Iranian oil but have held off, concerned about Tehran’s near-certain retaliation and the impact on global oil markets, U.S. officials said.”
[Editor’s Note: There is no verification of Iran official and semi-official media’s claim of “millions” in the regimes organized by the regime.
Al Jazeera English gives no figure. Instead, it notes:
“While the rallies were organised to show public support for the government, that backing is hardly unanimous. Demonstrations broke out at the end of December over the plummeting value of Iran’s currency, the rial, and high inflation. The protests spread across the country and evolved into antigovernment demonstrations before a deadly crackdown by security forces.”]
Millions in Tehran and other cities across Iran descend onto the street to commemorate and celebrate the 1979 Revolution: https://newsmediab.tasnimnews.ir/Tasnim/Uploaded/Video/1404/11/22/1404112212461993835618973.mp4
The presence this year was massive compared to previous years: https://www.aljazeera.com/gallery/2026/2/11/iranians-mark-47th-islamic-revolution-anniversary-with-nationwide-rallies
Here is an example of your “millions”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ReGYpNOZZmM&t=265s
[Editor’s Note: The article does not state “hundreds of thousands” attended in Tehran. That is the caption of a photograph relating to Iran and not just the capital.]
The same Al Jazeera article states that: “Hundreds of thousands of Iranians attended demonstrations commemorating the anniversary of the 1979 revolution”. This was just for Tehran and not for the other 1,400 cities across the country.
This is what 47 seven years of Islamic republic have brought people
https://www.instagram.com/reel/DUfq-SGALgI/?igsh=dTVkNGxiZ2tuZG5o
That’s how people celebrate anniversary of the revolution
https://www.instagram.com/reel/DUltNDgE1vo/?igsh=MTJiamUxeGp5cnQzeg==
Abolfazl: Killed at 13 Years Old, Dreamed of Buying Foreign Sneakers
https://iranwire.com/en/features/148974-abolfazl-killed-at-13-years-old-dreamed-of-buying-foreign-sneakers/