I joined Monocle 24’s The Briefing on Tuesday afternoon to evaluate Iran’s latest moves over the wounded July 2015 nuclear deal.

Iran’s delegation to the UN says that it will notify the organization on Tuesday that Tehran is renewing nuclear activities within the framework of the agreement.

Far more seriously, the Supreme Leader said on Monday that Iran will not only renew the activities but will be prepared to resume uranium enrichment and expand it by 19 times — effectively consigning the deal to history.

See Iran Daily, June 5: Khamenei Orders Preparation for Renewed Nuclear Program to Counter “Enemy Plot”

So can the agreement be saved? And what happens if it cannot?

Europe has a window to maintain the deal if it promises economic links with Iran. But the duration of that window — will it last a few days? will it last a few weeks? — well, the Supreme Leader was announcing yesterday, “Don’t count on this being a long time”.

Listen from 1:16: