US Audio Analysis: “Yes, President Trump is A Possibility”

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PHOTO: Donald Trump campaigns in Boynton Beach, Florida, October 24, 2016 (Evan Vucci/AP)


UPDATE 1845 GMT: A chat with BBC Radio Coventry about the latest developments in the campaign:

It’s getting really interesting or, alternatively, really scary depending on your perspective.

Listen to interview


ORIGINAL ENTRY: With Donald Trump rallying in the polls, next Tuesday’s US Presidential election looks like it will be very close.

Trump is now competitive in all 10 of the key states — nine of which he needs to win — and is ahead in several of them.

See US Analysis: Your Essential Guide to the Presidential Election

So could there be a President Trump?

Yes, it’s now a possibility. I explained why to BBC Radio Foyle on Tuesday afternoon.

Listen to discussion

The discussion notes that while the issue of Hillary Clinton’s e-mail is primarily political, rather than legal, it is now defining the contest in the US media and thus for many voters. That will only be to the benefit of Trump in the next seven days.

I am surprised that it has gotten to this point. Even though there are issues about Clinton’s e-mails, she is reliable, she is experienced, she has a grasp of the issues — the social issues, the economic issues, the foreign policy issues.

Trump does not.

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7 COMMENTS

  1. Wrong again, Scott — President Trump is a Necessity!
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    Here’s a Silicon Valley Billionaire to explain why for you:
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    Clinton is eager to escalate the war in Syria with a NFZ, risking a nuclear war with Russia … but how can she be so wildly over-optimistic about the outcome of war? I would suggest that it comes from a lot of practice.”
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    “Trump questions the core [propaganda] concept of ‘American Exceptionalism’ and wants to make America a normal country. The big things he’s right about amount to a much-needed dose of humility in our politics.”
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    “What Trump represents isn’t crazy and it’s not going away … it points to a new American politics that overcomes denial, rejects bubble thinking and reckons with reality. The only important question will be whether or not that new politics came too late.

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    https://youtu.be/AfYLEPRiIyE

  2. FBI releases Bill Clinton closed case files days before vote…AND IT BACKFIRES BADLY THIS TIME!
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    Bill Clinton isn’t running for president. Trump’s base may care about some 20-year-old amnesty for a guy most folks never heard of. Trump won’t get a single extra vote for it but is likely to lose some, especially among Republicans and independents.
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    Signs of FBI-Trump collusion (on top of Trump-Putin collusion) may be the final straw for GOP voters and undecided who had already been wary of Trump’s threat to American democracy (his claims of pre-rigged elections, his threats to jail his opponent if elected and his proposal to limit freedom of the press by passing laws making it easier for officeholders to sue journalists who expose wrongdoing).
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    The FBI ‘s reputation is badly tarnished and Conley’s is destroyed. At a minimum he’s lost control over his own house. Conley hypocrisy is undermined by the excuse he gave for not discussing an ongoing investigation into Trump-Kremlin ties. All the paid Russian trolls who clutter this site will not spin their way out of this one.
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    https://www.yahoo.com/news/fbi-releases-bill-clinton-closed-case-files-days-232844166.html

  3. MAJOR DEVELOPMENT IN FLORIDA
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    HILLARY LEADS BY +8 AS REPUBLICANS DEFECT IN DROVES
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    A new report says 28% of Republicans who voted so in Florida so far defected to Hillary, compared to 6% who did so for Kerry and 9% who did so for Obama. M SNBC broke the story tonight. Details and source available Wednesday morning. This finding is probably more accurate than other polls who relied on “likely voters” and party registration because it relied on folks who had already voted. Hillary can lose Florida and still win. If Trump loses Florida (29 electoral, votes) it’s all over. Also, if GOP voters (“never Trumps) are defecting so greatly the total is likely high in other states as well.
    .
    A Trump supporting yellows “Jews SA” at a rally surely cost some votes in Florida which has a large Jewish population. It happened in Pennsylvania but appeared on national tv news. Hillary needs to put that one in her ads along with the KKK endorsement yesterday. The guy had a German name. Pennsylvania was a stronghold of the pro-Nazi German-American Bund in the late thirties. In 1963 while collecting money for a bombed church in Selma, Alabama I got in a clash with Roy Frankhauser in Reading. Look him up online. Guy has a swastika and headed local Nazis. Later I believe he became Grand Dragon of the Pennysylvania KKK.
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    SPEAKING OF GOP DEFECTIONS, SEE THIS FROM WISCONSIN
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    A Washington Post story about how Trump is having trouble winning over Republicans in Wisconsin has this funny report: A skeptical Republican couple decided to give Trump and chance and attended one of his rallies. They reported that the crowd of men and women may as well arrived on Harleys. Rally was a total turnoff for them and others like them. They’ll be voting for Hillary.
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    See: “‘He’s not one of us’: Trump still struggles to win over many Republicans” on page one of WP.

  4. 1. The Hispanic sleeping giant has awakened
    https://www.yahoo.com/news/m/899067ce-637b-3f58-8f58-2dc57c1e5926/the-hispanic-sleeping-giant.html
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    2. Nate Silver at fivethirtyeight: “Has Trump Already Lost Nevada?”
    http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/has-trump-already-lost-nevada/
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    3. TOP POLITICAL ANALYST: Trump probably just lost Nevada
    http://finance.yahoo.com/news/top-political-analyst-trump-probably-161624017.html
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    4. In Florida, there has been a record turnout of Hispanics to date. Also, over 200,000 new Hispanic voters have registered.
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    WHAT HISPANICS, BLACK VOTERS AND COLLEGE STUDENTS MUST NEVER FORGET WHEN IT COMES TO REPUBLICANBS.’
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    Remember This in 2016: The Party of Obstruction (Party of the top 1%) is strongly anti-minority and anti-college student. In GOP state after GOP state REepublicans voted to for schemes designed to prevent minorities and students from voting (no Sunday voting, only one voting place in such areas (intended to create lines 4 1/2 hours or longer).
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    Also important: Even where a handful of GOP politicians defends immigrants, they OPPOSE a path to citizenship for one reason: they don’t want Hispanics to become eligible voters.

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