Following last week’s events — from the fall of the regime’s Menagh Airbase in Aleppo Province to the insurgency’s offensive in Lattakia Province — we take look at whether “the insurgency is now winning”.
1. What exactly was won last week — and what happens now?
2. Who won within the insurgency?
3. So have the insurgency really turned the corner within the conflict.
“This is not an initial question of ‘Are Insurgents Winning?’ as much as ‘Has Assad Lost?’. The chances that the President can re-unite the country are now long gone.”
But….
“The insurgents are not winning….We go back to where we are two weeks ago: this is a fragmented conflict.”
