16 COMMENTS

  1. Rafsanjani is looking for a “wise and tempered road”

    Additional he has has warned against that “extremists…trying to persist in the mistakes of the past eight years.”

    “The extremist individuals and groups who are responsible for the current situation are trying to shirk responsibility and shift the blame on others.”

    “Unfortunately, mismanagement in recent years and deviation from the path of the Revolution has paved the way for the intensification of pressure by the country’s enemies,”
    Rafsanjani added, “and now we see the most severe sanctions and threats imposed on Iran.”

    http://archive.radiozamaneh.com/english/content/moderate-cleric-rafsanjani-warns-against-%E2%80%9Cextremists%E2%80%9D

  2. Conservative Worry About Divided Vote …………………………………..

    “”They think even if the reformists put forth one candidate, they cannot get enough votes to win the election.””

    It already happened – according IPOS today Rowhani is the number 1 with 26,6% and the number 2 is Qalibaf with 24,8%.

    But – who knows how IPOS has generated his forecasts?

  3. Iran exports rise 66% in May compared to April
    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-06-12/iran-s-crude-exports-rise-as-china-port-blockages-ease-iea-says.html
    Iran exported 66 percent more crude oil in May than in April, helped by an increase in purchases by China after congestion eased at the Asian nation’s ports, the International Energy Agency said. Imports of Iranian crude reported by consumers rose to the “relatively high” level of 1.39 million barrels a day from 835,000 barrels a day in April, the IEA said in its monthly oil report today.

  4. Strategic Options for Iran: Balancing Pressure with Diplomacy http://www.scribd.com/doc/136389836/Strategic-Options-for-Iran-Balancing-Pressure-with-Diplomacy#fullscreen

    “It is time for Washigton to rebalance its dual-track policy toward Iran, strengthening the diplomatic track in order to seize the opportunity created by the pressure track. The United States should now dedicate as much energy and creativity to negotiating directly with Iran as it has to assembling a broad international coalition to pressure and isolate Iran. Only by taking such a rebalanced approach might the United States achieve its objectives with respect to Iran’s nuclear program. Progress on the nuclear issues could lead to a broader dialogue with Iran that advances other U.S. interests and goals in the Middle East.

    In this third report from The Iran Project, we consider the successes, shortfalls, and risks of strategies designed to pressure the Iranian government into changing its policies. We explore some of the advantages and disadvantages for U.S. interests in the Middle East that might flow from bilateral negotiations with Iran to achieve a nuclear deal, and propose steps that the President might take to establish a frame-work for direct talks with Iran’s leadership that would build on the latest round of multilateral negotiations and proposals.

    Iran’s actions—particularly with regard to its nuclear program—pose complex and dangerous challenges to U.S. interests and security, as well as to the security of Israel and possibly to stability in the Middle East. This paper sets out a response to these serious challenges. A strengthened U.S. diplomatic initiative would not replace the pressure track; rather, it would build on pressure already applied. Some measure of sanctions relief will have to be offered as part of a negotiated settlement; but pressure should not be eased without firm and verifiable Iranian commitments to greater transparency and agreed limits on Iran’s nuclear program. The proposed bilateral discussions between the U.S. and Iran would not replace the multilateral negotiations that are now underway. Bilateral talks would have to proceed on a basis understood and ideally supported by the P5+1 (the five permanent members of the UN Security Council, plus Germany) and U.S. allies.

    This paper differs from earlier Iran Project publications in that it takes policy positions and makes recommendations for government action. We have sought to base our suggestions on factual, objective, nonpartisan analyses, consulting with nearly 20 former government officials and experts and seeking advice from a larger group of signatories.In extensive endnotes, we cite much of the impressive work on this set of issues that has been done by other colleagues in the United States and elsewhere.”

    N.B. If they want to be taken seriously, they should probably learn how to spell the name of their own capital first.

  5. To vote or not to vote? Iranians wary after revolts and uprisings turn sour http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2013/jun/12/iran-egypt-revolutions-islamists-control

    Some good quotes from the article:

    “All the chandeliers you see in these shops used to be inside the cabarets. But now they are inside houses. It’s a symbolic change. People drink inside their homes and pray outside in public to get the jobs. In the past, people used to pray at home and drink at the cabaret,” Ebrahim recounts. “If you want to summarise what happened here, it is that the public was turned private and society is living inside out.”

    Arang Keshavarzian, a New York university professor, says: “All elections, and I’ve no reason to think this one is different, are simultaneously a moment for the regime to seek to define the contours of politics and a space for citizens to engage in political discussions and actions. As such, they are unique moments and social spaces that are always pregnant with hope and fear.”

    For Sadeghi there seems there could be a moment to grab. “People [have become] disenchanted with how the state is controlling Islam. And when there is a vacuum in hegemonic power you have to overcome that depression and make an ambush. But you have to be patient. This is politics. Politics means patience.”

  6. No real Iranian votes in Khamanei’s sham elections of Presidential puppets. But it is important to note that those Iranians who have jobs affiliated in any way with the government (i.e. banks, schools, businesses, etc) have no choice but to cast a ballot. Nearly half of Iran jobs are affiliated with the government or Revolutionary Guards. If they don’t vote and prove that they have voted (via a stamp in their papers) they can get fired. I have family members like this. And plus the government itself makes up the percentage of people who voted (there is no U.N. committee monitoring the results). Anyhow, these sham elections mean nothing. The existence of this regime is incompatible with human civilization. All these Presidential puppets (who have no real power anyway) had to be approved by Khamanei’s crony of the Guardian Council to prove that they are Islamist and terrorist enough for the regime. Regime change and regime change only. Nothing more and nothing less.

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